BTC IV smile, 27 Nov 2026 expiry
mark IV by strike · bid/ask IV as a band- Binance mark IV
- Bybit mark IV
- Bid/ask IV
Every strike (43)
| Strike | OTM side | Binance mark IV | Bid / ask IV | Delta | Bybit mark IV | Bid / ask IV | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60,000 | put | 49.2% | 49.4% / 49.6% | -0.03 | 45.6% | 49.2% / 49.4% | -0.02 |
| 62,000 | put | 47.2% | 47.3% / 47.5% | -0.04 | 44.4% | 47.1% / 47.5% | -0.03 |
| 64,000 | put | 45.2% | 45.5% / 45.6% | -0.05 | 43.3% | 45.2% / 45.5% | -0.04 |
| 66,000 | put | 43.6% | 43.6% / 43.9% | -0.06 | 42.2% | 43.5% / 43.8% | -0.06 |
| 68,000 | put | 42.1% | 42.2% / 42.3% | -0.08 | 41.2% | 42.1% / 42.3% | -0.07 |
| 70,000 | put | 40.7% | 40.9% / 41.0% | -0.10 | 40.4% | 40.8% / 40.9% | -0.10 |
| 72,000 | put | 39.6% | 39.7% / 39.8% | -0.13 | 39.6% | 39.7% / 39.9% | -0.13 |
| 73,000 | put | 39.1% | 39.2% / 39.3% | -0.15 | — | ||
| 74,000 | put | 38.7% | 38.8% / 38.9% | -0.16 | 38.9% | 38.9% / 39.0% | -0.16 |
| 75,000 | put | 38.4% | 38.5% / 38.6% | -0.18 | — | ||
| 76,000 | put | 38.0% | 38.1% / 38.3% | -0.21 | 38.3% | 38.2% / 38.3% | -0.21 |
| 77,000 | put | 37.8% | 37.8% / 38.0% | -0.23 | 38.0% | 37.9% / 38.1% | -0.23 |
| 78,000 | put | 37.6% | 37.6% / 37.8% | -0.26 | 37.8% | 37.6% / 37.9% | -0.26 |
| 79,000 | put | 37.4% | 37.4% / 37.6% | -0.28 | 37.6% | 37.4% / 37.6% | -0.28 |
| 80,000 | put | 37.2% | 37.3% / 37.4% | -0.31 | 37.4% | 37.3% / 37.5% | -0.31 |
| 81,000 | put | 37.1% | 37.2% / 37.4% | -0.34 | 37.3% | 37.1% / 37.4% | -0.34 |
| 82,000 | put | 37.0% | 37.2% / 37.3% | -0.37 | 37.1% | 37.0% / 37.3% | -0.37 |
| 83,000 | put | 37.0% | 37.0% / 37.3% | -0.40 | 37.0% | 37.0% / 37.3% | -0.40 |
| 84,000 | put | 36.9% | 37.0% / 37.4% | -0.44 | — | ||
| 85,000 | put | 36.9% | 37.0% / 37.4% | -0.47 | 36.9% | 37.0% / 37.2% | -0.47 |
| 86,000 | call | 36.9% | 36.8% / 37.2% | +0.50 | — | ||
| 87,000 | call | 36.9% | 36.8% / 37.1% | +0.47 | 36.9% | 36.6% / 36.9% | +0.47 |
| 88,000 | call | 36.9% | 36.9% / 37.1% | +0.44 | — | ||
| 89,000 | call | 37.0% | 36.9% / 37.1% | +0.41 | 36.9% | 36.6% / 36.9% | +0.41 |
| 90,000 | call | 37.0% | 37.1% / 37.1% | +0.38 | — | ||
| 91,000 | call | 37.1% | 37.0% / 37.2% | +0.35 | 37.0% | 36.9% / 37.0% | +0.36 |
| 92,000 | call | 37.2% | 37.2% / 37.3% | +0.33 | 37.1% | 36.9% / 37.1% | +0.33 |
| 93,000 | call | 37.3% | 37.2% / 37.4% | +0.30 | — | ||
| 94,000 | call | 37.4% | 37.3% / 37.5% | +0.28 | 37.3% | 37.1% / 37.3% | +0.28 |
| 95,000 | call | 37.5% | 37.4% / 37.5% | +0.26 | — | ||
| 96,000 | call | 37.6% | 37.5% / 37.7% | +0.24 | 37.6% | 37.4% / 37.6% | +0.24 |
| 97,000 | call | 37.7% | 37.6% / 37.8% | +0.22 | — | ||
| 98,000 | call | 37.9% | 37.8% / 37.9% | +0.20 | 37.9% | 37.6% / 37.8% | +0.20 |
| 100,000 | call | 38.2% | 38.1% / 38.3% | +0.16 | 38.3% | 38.0% / 38.1% | +0.17 |
| 102,000 | call | 38.6% | 38.5% / 38.6% | +0.14 | 38.7% | 38.3% / 38.5% | +0.14 |
| 104,000 | call | 39.0% | 38.8% / 39.0% | +0.11 | 39.1% | 38.8% / 38.9% | +0.12 |
| 105,000 | call | 39.2% | 39.1% / 39.1% | +0.10 | — | ||
| 106,000 | call | 39.5% | 39.2% / 39.3% | +0.10 | — | ||
| 108,000 | call | 39.9% | 39.7% / 39.8% | +0.08 | 40.0% | 39.6% / 39.8% | +0.08 |
| 110,000 | call | 40.5% | 40.2% / 40.4% | +0.07 | — | ||
| 112,000 | call | — | 40.9% | 40.7% / 40.9% | +0.06 | ||
| 115,000 | call | 41.9% | 41.7% / 41.8% | +0.04 | — | ||
| 120,000 | call | 43.5% | 42.5% / 42.7% | +0.03 | — |
BTC ATM IV term structure
at-the-money mark IV by days to expiry- Bybit
- Binance
- Combined
| Expiry (08:00 UTC) | Days | ATM IV | RR25 | Venues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 0.8 | 28.1% | −1.9 | Binance, Bybit |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 1.8 | 30.8% | +0.3 | Binance, Bybit |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 2.8 | 32.3% | +0.8 | Binance, Bybit |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 9.8 | 33.1% | 0.0 | Binance, Bybit |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 17 | 33.7% | −0.5 | Binance, Bybit |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 31 | 34.7% | +0.2 | Binance, Bybit |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 38 | 35.5% | −0.6 | Bybit |
| 27 Nov 2026 | 59 | 36.9% | −0.3 | Binance, Bybit |
| 25 Dec 2026 | 87 | 37.3% | −0.3 | Binance, Bybit |
| 26 Mar 2027 | 178 | 38.1% | −0.2 | Binance, Bybit |
| 25 Jun 2027 | 269 | 38.7% | −0.2 | Binance, Bybit |
| 24 Sep 2027 | 360 | 39.3% | −0.4 | Binance |
30-day ATM implied volatility
constant maturity, interpolated between expiries in total variance- 30-day ATM IV
30-day 25-delta risk reversal
vol points · negative = puts bidRR25 is the 25-delta call's implied vol minus the 25-delta put's: below zero traders pay up for downside protection, above zero for upside.
- 30-day RR25
30-day implied vs realized volatility
IV − RV now: −6.8 vol points- 30-day ATM IV
- 30-day realized vol
- IV − RV
How to read it. Mark IV is the implied volatility behind each exchange's option mark price. The smile uses the out-of-the-money option at each strike (puts below the forward, calls above); on the delta axis 0.25 is the 25-delta put, 0.5 at the money and 0.75 the 25-delta call. ATM IV is interpolated at the forward. The 30-day figures interpolate between the expiries either side of 30 days. Realized vol is the 30-day standard deviation of daily log returns of the Binance USDT perp, annualized with √365, as on the volatility screener.
Bybit and Binance options only, recorded from their public APIs every 5 minutes; not the whole crypto options market. Not financial advice.