BTC IV smile, 26 Mar 2027 expiry
mark IV by delta · bid/ask IV as a band- Binance mark IV
- Bybit mark IV
- Bid/ask IV
Every strike (42)
| Strike | OTM side | Binance mark IV | Bid / ask IV | Delta | Bybit mark IV | Bid / ask IV | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45,000 | put | 52.6% | 52.9% / 53.6% | -0.03 | 50.1% | 52.5% / 53.2% | -0.02 |
| 50,000 | put | 49.0% | 49.4% / 49.7% | -0.04 | 47.3% | 49.1% / 49.5% | -0.03 |
| 52,000 | put | 47.7% | 48.0% / 48.5% | -0.05 | — | ||
| 54,000 | put | 46.4% | 46.8% / 47.2% | -0.05 | — | ||
| 55,000 | put | 45.9% | 46.2% / 46.6% | -0.06 | 45.0% | 46.0% / 46.2% | -0.06 |
| 56,000 | put | 45.3% | 45.7% / 46.0% | -0.06 | — | ||
| 58,000 | put | 44.3% | 44.5% / 44.9% | -0.07 | 43.8% | 44.3% / 44.5% | -0.07 |
| 60,000 | put | 43.4% | 43.7% / 43.9% | -0.09 | 43.0% | 43.3% / 43.6% | -0.09 |
| 61,000 | put | — | 42.6% | 42.9% / 43.1% | -0.09 | ||
| 62,000 | put | 42.5% | 42.7% / 43.0% | -0.10 | 42.3% | 42.4% / 42.7% | -0.10 |
| 63,000 | put | — | 42.0% | 42.1% / 42.3% | -0.11 | ||
| 64,000 | put | 41.7% | 42.0% / 42.3% | -0.12 | 41.7% | 41.7% / 42.0% | -0.12 |
| 65,000 | put | 41.4% | 41.6% / 41.9% | -0.13 | 41.4% | 41.3% / 41.6% | -0.13 |
| 66,000 | put | 41.1% | 41.3% / 41.5% | -0.14 | 41.1% | 41.0% / 41.2% | -0.14 |
| 67,000 | put | — | 40.8% | 40.7% / 40.9% | -0.15 | ||
| 68,000 | put | 40.5% | 40.7% / 41.0% | -0.16 | 40.6% | 40.4% / 40.7% | -0.16 |
| 70,000 | put | 40.0% | 40.2% / 40.5% | -0.19 | 40.1% | 39.8% / 40.2% | -0.19 |
| 72,000 | put | 39.6% | 39.9% / 40.1% | -0.21 | 39.6% | 39.4% / 39.7% | -0.21 |
| 74,000 | put | 39.2% | 39.5% / 39.8% | -0.24 | 39.3% | 39.0% / 39.3% | -0.24 |
| 76,000 | put | 38.9% | 39.3% / 39.5% | -0.27 | 39.0% | 38.7% / 39.0% | -0.27 |
| 78,000 | put | 38.6% | 39.1% / 39.4% | -0.31 | 38.7% | 38.5% / 38.8% | -0.31 |
| 80,000 | put | 38.4% | 39.0% / 39.2% | -0.34 | 38.5% | 38.2% / 38.6% | -0.34 |
| 82,000 | put | 38.3% | 38.9% / 39.2% | -0.37 | — | ||
| 84,000 | put | 38.2% | 38.8% / 39.2% | -0.41 | 38.2% | 38.0% / 38.4% | -0.41 |
| 85,000 | put | 38.2% | 38.8% / 39.2% | -0.42 | — | ||
| 86,000 | put | 38.2% | 38.8% / 39.3% | -0.44 | 38.1% | 37.9% / 38.4% | -0.44 |
| 88,000 | call | 38.1% | 38.6% / 39.1% | +0.52 | — | ||
| 90,000 | call | 38.1% | 38.6% / 39.0% | +0.49 | 38.0% | 37.8% / 38.3% | +0.49 |
| 92,000 | call | 38.2% | 38.5% / 39.0% | +0.46 | — | ||
| 94,000 | call | 38.2% | 38.6% / 39.0% | +0.43 | — | ||
| 95,000 | call | 38.2% | 38.6% / 39.0% | +0.41 | 38.1% | 38.0% / 38.3% | +0.41 |
| 96,000 | call | 38.3% | 38.6% / 39.0% | +0.40 | — | ||
| 98,000 | call | 38.4% | 38.7% / 39.0% | +0.37 | — | ||
| 100,000 | call | 38.5% | 38.7% / 39.1% | +0.34 | 38.4% | 38.2% / 38.6% | +0.34 |
| 105,000 | call | 38.8% | 39.1% / 39.4% | +0.28 | — | ||
| 107,000 | call | — | 38.9% | 38.7% / 39.1% | +0.26 | ||
| 110,000 | call | 39.2% | 39.5% / 39.7% | +0.23 | 39.2% | 38.9% / 39.3% | +0.23 |
| 115,000 | call | 39.7% | 39.9% / 40.2% | +0.18 | — | ||
| 120,000 | call | 40.2% | 40.4% / 40.6% | +0.15 | 40.3% | 40.0% / 40.3% | +0.15 |
| 125,000 | call | 40.8% | 40.9% / 41.2% | +0.12 | — | ||
| 130,000 | call | — | 41.5% | 41.1% / 41.4% | +0.10 | ||
| 150,000 | call | — | 43.9% | 43.9% / 44.1% | +0.05 |
BTC ATM IV term structure
at-the-money mark IV by days to expiry- Bybit
- Binance
- Combined
| Expiry (08:00 UTC) | Days | ATM IV | RR25 | Venues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 0.8 | 27.7% | +0.9 | Binance, Bybit |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 1.8 | 30.6% | +0.7 | Binance, Bybit |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 2.8 | 33.0% | +1.5 | Binance, Bybit |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 9.8 | 33.5% | +0.2 | Binance, Bybit |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 17 | 33.8% | 0.0 | Binance, Bybit |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 31 | 34.8% | +0.2 | Binance, Bybit |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 38 | 35.6% | −0.5 | Bybit |
| 27 Nov 2026 | 59 | 37.0% | −0.2 | Binance, Bybit |
| 25 Dec 2026 | 87 | 37.4% | −0.4 | Binance, Bybit |
| 26 Mar 2027 | 178 | 38.1% | −0.2 | Binance, Bybit |
| 25 Jun 2027 | 269 | 38.7% | −0.2 | Binance, Bybit |
| 24 Sep 2027 | 360 | 39.4% | −0.3 | Binance |
30-day ATM implied volatility
constant maturity, interpolated between expiries in total variance- 30-day ATM IV
30-day 25-delta risk reversal
vol points · negative = puts bidRR25 is the 25-delta call's implied vol minus the 25-delta put's: below zero traders pay up for downside protection, above zero for upside.
- 30-day RR25
30-day implied vs realized volatility
IV − RV now: −6.7 vol points- 30-day ATM IV
- 30-day realized vol
- IV − RV
How to read it. Mark IV is the implied volatility behind each exchange's option mark price. The smile uses the out-of-the-money option at each strike (puts below the forward, calls above); on the delta axis 0.25 is the 25-delta put, 0.5 at the money and 0.75 the 25-delta call. ATM IV is interpolated at the forward. The 30-day figures interpolate between the expiries either side of 30 days. Realized vol is the 30-day standard deviation of daily log returns of the Binance USDT perp, annualized with √365, as on the volatility screener.
Bybit and Binance options only, recorded from their public APIs every 5 minutes; not the whole crypto options market. Not financial advice.