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Avalanche (AVAX) Returns by Hour, Weekday & Session

When has Avalanche tended to rise or fall? Average returns by hour of day (UTC), weekday and trading session, measured on Binance spot AVAXUSDT hourly closes from 29 Sep 2023 to 29 Sep 2026. Seasonality in the past is not a forecast: most of these differences are small next to an hour's normal move.

Over 26,294 hourly returns since 29 Sep 2023, Avalanche's strongest UTC hour on average was 21:00 (+0.057%, up 50.4% of the time) and its weakest 13:00 (-0.069%); the best hour's edge is within the noise once you allow for picking the best of 24 hours (t = 1.9). By UTC day, Saturday averaged the most (+0.59%) and Tuesday the least (-0.70%), over 1,095 days. Weekends are quieter: the average weekend day ranged 5.18% against 6.24% on weekdays (17% less). Of the trading sessions, the Asia session added the most in total (+54.7% cumulative over 782 weekdays).

26,294 hourly returns1,095 daily returns0 missing hours skippedSource: Binance spot AVAXUSDT, 1h candles (UTC)

Avalanche average return by hour of day (UTC)

29 Sep 2023 – 29 Sep 2026 · 26294 hourly returns
Hour (UTC)MeanMedian% upAvg |move|t-statHours
00:00-0.032%+0.000%47.9%0.681%-1.01096
01:00-0.019%+0.000%49.8%0.743%-0.51096
02:00+0.032%+0.000%48.8%0.652%+1.11096
03:00+0.032%+0.000%46.6%0.613%+1.21096
04:00+0.048%+0.030%50.5%0.575%+2.01096
05:00-0.001%+0.000%48.2%0.612%-0.11096
06:00+0.013%+0.000%49.5%0.641%+0.41096
07:00+0.004%-0.048%45.9%0.628%+0.21096
08:00+0.026%+0.000%47.9%0.646%+0.91096
09:00+0.032%+0.000%49.3%0.582%+1.31096
10:00-0.031%-0.043%44.8%0.549%-1.31095
11:00-0.003%+0.000%49.1%0.548%-0.11095
12:00-0.035%+0.000%46.7%0.650%-1.21095
13:00-0.069%-0.067%45.2%0.789%-2.11095
14:00-0.030%-0.049%46.8%0.876%-0.81095
15:00+0.003%+0.048%50.7%0.865%+0.11095
16:00-0.027%+0.000%47.4%0.740%-0.91095
17:00+0.013%+0.056%51.3%0.742%+0.41095
18:00-0.004%+0.000%47.6%0.684%-0.11095
19:00-0.020%+0.000%47.6%0.648%-0.71095
20:00-0.002%-0.008%47.0%0.636%-0.11096
21:00+0.057%+0.030%50.4%0.607%+1.91096
22:00+0.049%-0.024%46.5%0.674%+1.61096
23:00-0.015%+0.000%46.4%0.542%-0.61096

Avalanche average return by day of the week

UTC-day closes · 1095 days
WeekdayMeanMedian% upAvg |move|t-statDays
Monday+0.090%+0.599%57.3%3.608%+0.2157
Tuesday-0.704%-0.852%41.7%3.490%-2.0156
Wednesday+0.546%-0.368%47.4%3.781%+1.4156
Thursday-0.549%-0.592%44.9%3.584%-1.5156
Friday+0.223%+0.257%53.8%3.715%+0.5156
Saturday+0.590%+0.491%56.1%2.903%+1.8157
Sunday-0.099%-0.573%45.2%3.116%-0.3157

Avalanche return by trading session

Weekdays · sessions overlap
SessionHoursMeanMedian% upAvg |move|CumulativeSessions
Asia00:00–08:00 UTC+0.056%+0.072%51.3%1.91%+54.7%782
Europe07:00–16:00 London-0.133%-0.185%45.6%2.11%-64.5%781
US09:00–16:00 New York (NYSE opens 09:30)-0.257%-0.195%44.4%2.18%-86.6%781

The sessions overlap (Asia and Europe share an hour or two, Europe and the US two to three), so their returns don't add up to the day's. Cumulative is every session's return compounded over the window.

Avalanche weekend vs weekday volatility

UTC days
DaysAvg |daily return|Avg daily rangeAvg |hourly return|Days
Weekdays (Mon–Fri)3.64%6.24%0.701%781
Weekend (Sat–Sun)3.01%5.18%0.569%314

Range is the highest over the lowest hourly close of a UTC day (days with at least 20 stored hours).

Avalanche hour × weekday heatmap

Mean hourly return in basis points (1 bp = 0.01%) · UTC
Day000102030405060708091011121314151617181920212223
Mon-10.3-17.8+1.3+8.6+7.1-2.9+1.8+10.7+4.3+7.3+2.4-2.3+5.6-11.7-4.2-3.5+0.1+6.1-10.8+4.3+5.1+7.7+9.4-9.1
Tue-12.3-3.8-3.9-5.4-0.7+1.8-4.4-1.9+0.1+1.1-3.0+1.9-3.5-24.6-10.2+5.2-0.3-5.0+7.1-10.8+2.8+0.6+7.0-2.8
Wed-4.8-0.7+4.8-0.7+11.7+0.3+18.1+2.0+11.7+5.7+1.6-4.0-6.8-6.4-9.5+7.9-5.9+11.4+10.5+3.1+2.2+14.2-12.3+0.3
Thu+11.8-6.5+10.2+0.4-0.4-12.2+7.1-0.7+3.8+7.1-7.9-4.6-15.1-13.2+1.0-17.8-7.8-3.0-9.6-13.6-1.0+15.1+8.1-6.2
Fri-2.5+17.5+1.4+10.9-4.9+5.5+3.4-11.2+3.9+8.0-2.2-1.5+6.0+10.8-13.4-16.2+2.7+9.9-9.5+1.9-4.9+1.8+0.6+4.9
Sat+1.5+8.1+16.7-2.0+9.0+0.4-12.0+6.0-8.4-3.0+2.5+7.2-2.6+3.3+13.9+14.2-5.4-3.6+4.4-3.8+0.3+8.5+1.4+2.3
Sun-5.5-9.6-8.0+10.6+12.0+6.2-4.6-2.0+2.5-3.5-15.4+1.3-8.2-6.7+1.3+12.3-2.7-6.4+5.4+4.6-5.6-8.3+20.3+0.2

How to read it. Mean and median are average hourly (or daily, or session) returns; % up is the share that closed higher; Avg |move| is the average size of the move either way. The best of 24 hours will look good by luck alone, so an hour needs a |t-stat| of about 3.1 or more (about 2.7 for the best of 7 weekdays) before its average is distinguishable from zero; |t| of 2 is not enough here. Returns are only counted where both closes are stored: 0 missing hours in this window were skipped, not bridged. See also Avalanche monthly returns.

Source: Binance spot AVAXUSDT hourly candles (public API). Past seasonality is not a forecast. Not financial advice.

Avalanche seasonality FAQ

What is the best time of day to buy Avalanche?

The tables show which UTC hours and weekdays have had the highest and lowest average return in the data, with the share of hours that closed up and a t-statistic. Most hourly differences are tiny (hundredths of a percent) and within the noise. Because the best of 24 hours is picked after the fact, a single hour needs |t| of about 3.1 or more (a Bonferroni correction for 24 comparisons; about 2.7 for the best of 7 weekdays) before it counts as more than luck. Past seasonality is not a forecast.

How are the returns calculated?

From Binance spot USDT hourly candles: each hour's return is the log change from the previous hour's close to its own close, and each weekday's return from one UTC-day close (the 23:00 candle) to the next. A return is only counted when both closes are stored; Binance skips the odd hour for maintenance, and those gaps are left out rather than bridged. Percentages are converted back to simple returns for display.

What are the trading sessions?

Asia is 00:00–08:00 UTC; Europe 07:00–16:00 London time (06:00–15:00 UTC in British Summer Time); the US is the NYSE session, 09:30–16:00 New York time, measured 09:00–16:00 because the candles are hourly (13:00–20:00 UTC in US daylight time, 14:00–21:00 otherwise). The sessions overlap, so their returns do not add up to the day's. Weekdays only; exchange holidays are not taken out.

Is crypto more volatile on weekends?

The weekend table compares the average absolute daily return, the average intraday range (highest over lowest hourly close in a UTC day) and the average absolute hourly return on Saturdays and Sundays with Monday to Friday.