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Avalanche (AVAX) Returns by Hour, Weekday & Session

When has Avalanche tended to rise or fall? Average returns by hour of day (UTC), weekday and trading session, measured on Binance spot AVAXUSDT hourly closes from 29 Sep 2025 to 29 Sep 2026. Seasonality in the past is not a forecast: most of these differences are small next to an hour's normal move.

Over 8,762 hourly returns since 29 Sep 2025, Avalanche's strongest UTC hour on average was 11:00 (+0.051%, up 49.3% of the time) and its weakest 13:00 (-0.060%); the best hour's edge is within the noise once you allow for picking the best of 24 hours (t = 1.4). By UTC day, Saturday averaged the most (+0.50%) and Thursday the least (-1.27%), over 364 days. Weekends are quieter: the average weekend day ranged 4.26% against 4.95% on weekdays (14% less). Of the trading sessions, the Asia session lost the least in total (-20.6% cumulative over 261 weekdays).

8,762 hourly returns364 daily returns0 missing hours skippedSource: Binance spot AVAXUSDT, 1h candles (UTC)

Avalanche average return by hour of day (UTC)

29 Sep 2025 – 29 Sep 2026 · 8762 hourly returns
Hour (UTC)MeanMedian% upAvg |move|t-statHours
00:00+0.013%+0.000%49.0%0.471%+0.3365
01:00+0.002%+0.000%49.0%0.563%+0.0365
02:00+0.040%+0.000%48.5%0.544%+0.9365
03:00-0.030%-0.029%43.6%0.490%-0.8365
04:00-0.004%+0.000%46.6%0.449%-0.1365
05:00-0.053%+0.000%46.3%0.485%-1.3365
06:00-0.023%+0.000%48.8%0.471%-0.6365
07:00-0.014%-0.045%44.1%0.472%-0.4365
08:00+0.001%+0.000%44.5%0.485%+0.0366
09:00-0.005%+0.000%47.5%0.463%-0.2366
10:00-0.050%-0.046%41.4%0.407%-1.7365
11:00+0.051%+0.000%49.3%0.454%+1.4365
12:00+0.004%+0.000%47.9%0.483%+0.1365
13:00-0.060%-0.067%43.6%0.619%-1.3365
14:00-0.051%-0.061%45.5%0.702%-1.0365
15:00+0.028%+0.081%53.2%0.778%+0.5365
16:00+0.010%+0.000%45.2%0.576%+0.2365
17:00-0.030%+0.000%46.6%0.586%-0.7365
18:00-0.025%+0.000%47.4%0.519%-0.7365
19:00-0.003%+0.000%46.3%0.501%-0.1365
20:00-0.002%+0.000%45.8%0.497%-0.1365
21:00+0.027%+0.000%49.0%0.498%+0.5365
22:00-0.024%-0.059%43.0%0.514%-0.6365
23:00-0.060%+0.000%46.3%0.472%-1.6365

Avalanche average return by day of the week

UTC-day closes · 364 days
WeekdayMeanMedian% upAvg |move|t-statDays
Monday+0.274%+0.568%59.6%2.514%+0.652
Tuesday-0.604%-0.852%42.3%2.836%-1.252
Wednesday-0.075%-0.597%38.5%2.627%-0.152
Thursday-1.275%-1.215%40.4%3.318%-2.252
Friday-0.619%+0.060%50.0%3.642%-0.752
Saturday+0.501%+0.195%51.9%2.411%+0.952
Sunday-0.213%-0.515%40.4%2.160%-0.552

Avalanche return by trading session

Weekdays · sessions overlap
SessionHoursMeanMedian% upAvg |move|CumulativeSessions
Asia00:00–08:00 UTC-0.088%-0.022%48.7%1.51%-20.6%261
Europe07:00–16:00 London-0.340%-0.215%43.5%1.77%-58.7%260
US09:00–16:00 New York (NYSE opens 09:30)-0.197%-0.109%45.2%1.89%-40.3%261

The sessions overlap (Asia and Europe share an hour or two, Europe and the US two to three), so their returns don't add up to the day's. Cumulative is every session's return compounded over the window.

Avalanche weekend vs weekday volatility

UTC days
DaysAvg |daily return|Avg daily rangeAvg |hourly return|Days
Weekdays (Mon–Fri)2.99%4.95%0.546%260
Weekend (Sat–Sun)2.29%4.26%0.458%104

Range is the highest over the lowest hourly close of a UTC day (days with at least 20 stored hours).

Avalanche hour × weekday heatmap

Mean hourly return in basis points (1 bp = 0.01%) · UTC
Day000102030405060708091011121314151617181920212223
Mon+10.6-11.4+21.3+2.3+13.3-8.5-5.5-9.7-3.5+15.3-8.5+22.6+6.1-3.7+4.7-16.5+14.1+8.5-11.0+1.6+0.4+9.4-6.7-12.8
Tue+1.7-11.2-10.9-0.2-15.4-22.5+2.6+1.9+2.1+6.9+2.4-4.9+1.8-25.7-9.1+40.1-5.2-15.4+1.8+1.2+14.4-12.1+13.1-0.8
Wed+1.9+3.7+11.1-8.9+8.8-4.4+8.3+4.3-0.1+2.8-3.3+3.2-0.7-14.0-22.8-3.2-12.9+16.2+5.8+2.0+4.2+9.3-19.3+0.6
Thu-9.5-0.6-7.1-5.8+3.4-9.4+14.9-7.4-4.4-16.2-14.5-8.0-3.1-9.9-11.7-21.7-5.7-12.1-1.6+1.4-9.8+21.5-5.2-5.7
Fri+2.7+16.5-15.5+10.3-2.9+4.3-12.8-7.5+2.6-9.8-5.3-8.7+3.0+6.7-7.2-5.6+20.3-2.0-16.6+7.6-12.7-10.7-8.0-10.8
Sat+13.7+21.6+31.6-18.2-12.6-3.9-22.1+4.6+7.0-7.3+3.6+12.0+4.9+5.2+5.7+9.0+12.7-7.1+0.9-10.8+5.0+1.8-0.1-7.2
Sun-12.0-16.9-1.8-0.6+2.9+7.5-1.8+4.2-2.8+4.0-9.4+19.3-9.4-0.7+4.5+17.9-16.4-9.1+3.4-4.9-3.1-0.3+9.8-5.2

How to read it. Mean and median are average hourly (or daily, or session) returns; % up is the share that closed higher; Avg |move| is the average size of the move either way. The best of 24 hours will look good by luck alone, so an hour needs a |t-stat| of about 3.1 or more (about 2.7 for the best of 7 weekdays) before its average is distinguishable from zero; |t| of 2 is not enough here. Returns are only counted where both closes are stored: 0 missing hours in this window were skipped, not bridged. See also Avalanche monthly returns.

Source: Binance spot AVAXUSDT hourly candles (public API). Past seasonality is not a forecast. Not financial advice.

Avalanche seasonality FAQ

What is the best time of day to buy Avalanche?

The tables show which UTC hours and weekdays have had the highest and lowest average return in the data, with the share of hours that closed up and a t-statistic. Most hourly differences are tiny (hundredths of a percent) and within the noise. Because the best of 24 hours is picked after the fact, a single hour needs |t| of about 3.1 or more (a Bonferroni correction for 24 comparisons; about 2.7 for the best of 7 weekdays) before it counts as more than luck. Past seasonality is not a forecast.

How are the returns calculated?

From Binance spot USDT hourly candles: each hour's return is the log change from the previous hour's close to its own close, and each weekday's return from one UTC-day close (the 23:00 candle) to the next. A return is only counted when both closes are stored; Binance skips the odd hour for maintenance, and those gaps are left out rather than bridged. Percentages are converted back to simple returns for display.

What are the trading sessions?

Asia is 00:00–08:00 UTC; Europe 07:00–16:00 London time (06:00–15:00 UTC in British Summer Time); the US is the NYSE session, 09:30–16:00 New York time, measured 09:00–16:00 because the candles are hourly (13:00–20:00 UTC in US daylight time, 14:00–21:00 otherwise). The sessions overlap, so their returns do not add up to the day's. Weekdays only; exchange holidays are not taken out.

Is crypto more volatile on weekends?

The weekend table compares the average absolute daily return, the average intraday range (highest over lowest hourly close in a UTC day) and the average absolute hourly return on Saturdays and Sundays with Monday to Friday.