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XAUT Liquidation Map (Estimated)

An estimated liquidation map for XAUT: the modelled value of positions that would be liquidated at each price if it got there, longs below the current price and shorts above, from positions opened in the chosen window across Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin.

The model places $240K of long and $257K of short liquidation levels for XAUT from positions opened in the last 3 days (all leverage). Within 10% of the 4,275.8 price: about $160K of longs below and $158K of shorts above. The densest modelled clusters are longs near 4,201 (-1.75%) and shorts near 4,307.9 (+0.75%).

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27All leverage · last 3 daysOpen interest $107.06MAs of 21:40 UTC

This is a model estimate for all tracked exchanges, not real positions.

Long levelswithin −10%
$160K
densest near 4,201
Short levelswithin +10%
$158K
densest near 4,307.9
Modelled liquidationslast 3 days
$0
exchanges reported $497
Open interestall exchanges
$107.06M
$240K long · $257K short levels

XAUT liquidation map · ±25% · 3 days

$4,148$61K$8,295$122K$12K$183K$17K$244KLongs at 3,271–3,292.4 (-23.25%): ≈ $178 modelledLongs at 3,292.4–3,313.7 (-22.75%): ≈ $1,156 modelledLongs at 3,313.7–3,335.1 (-22.25%): ≈ $1,148 modelledLongs at 3,335.1–3,356.5 (-21.75%): ≈ $1,141 modelledLongs at 3,356.5–3,377.9 (-21.25%): ≈ $1,133 modelledLongs at 3,377.9–3,399.3 (-20.75%): ≈ $1,126 modelledLongs at 3,399.3–3,420.6 (-20.25%): ≈ $1,119 modelledLongs at 3,420.6–3,442 (-19.75%): ≈ $3,509 modelledLongs at 3,442–3,463.4 (-19.25%): ≈ $3,804 modelledLongs at 3,463.4–3,484.8 (-18.75%): ≈ $3,781 modelledLongs at 3,484.8–3,506.2 (-18.25%): ≈ $3,757 modelledLongs at 3,506.2–3,527.5 (-17.75%): ≈ $3,735 modelledLongs at 3,527.5–3,548.9 (-17.25%): ≈ $3,711 modelledLongs at 3,548.9–3,570.3 (-16.75%): ≈ $3,690 modelledLongs at 3,570.3–3,591.7 (-16.25%): ≈ $3,667 modelledLongs at 3,591.7–3,613.1 (-15.75%): ≈ $3,646 modelledLongs at 3,613.1–3,634.4 (-15.25%): ≈ $3,625 modelledLongs at 3,634.4–3,655.8 (-14.75%): ≈ $3,603 modelledLongs at 3,655.8–3,677.2 (-14.25%): ≈ $3,582 modelledLongs at 3,677.2–3,698.6 (-13.75%): ≈ $3,562 modelledLongs at 3,698.6–3,719.9 (-13.25%): ≈ $3,540 modelledLongs at 3,719.9–3,741.3 (-12.75%): ≈ $3,520 modelledLongs at 3,741.3–3,762.7 (-12.25%): ≈ $3,763 modelledLongs at 3,762.7–3,784.1 (-11.75%): ≈ $3,797 modelledLongs at 3,784.1–3,805.5 (-11.25%): ≈ $3,775 modelledLongs at 3,805.5–3,826.8 (-10.75%): ≈ $3,754 modelledLongs at 3,826.8–3,848.2 (-10.25%): ≈ $3,734 modelledLongs at 3,848.2–3,869.6 (-9.75%): ≈ $8,005 modelledLongs at 3,869.6–3,891 (-9.25%): ≈ $8,205 modelledLongs at 3,891–3,912.4 (-8.75%): ≈ $8,160 modelledLongs at 3,912.4–3,933.7 (-8.25%): ≈ $8,116 modelledLongs at 3,933.7–3,955.1 (-7.75%): ≈ $8,072 modelledLongs at 3,955.1–3,976.5 (-7.25%): ≈ $8,029 modelledLongs at 3,976.5–3,997.9 (-6.75%): ≈ $7,985 modelledLongs at 3,997.9–4,019.3 (-6.25%): ≈ $7,942 modelledLongs at 4,019.3–4,040.6 (-5.75%): ≈ $7,900 modelledLongs at 4,040.6–4,062 (-5.25%): ≈ $7,859 modelledLongs at 4,062–4,083.4 (-4.75%): ≈ $5,638 modelledLongs at 4,083.4–4,104.8 (-4.25%): ≈ $4,990 modelledLongs at 4,104.8–4,126.2 (-3.75%): ≈ $4,964 modelledLongs at 4,126.2–4,147.5 (-3.25%): ≈ $4,939 modelledLongs at 4,147.5–4,168.9 (-2.75%): ≈ $4,913 modelledLongs at 4,168.9–4,190.3 (-2.25%): ≈ $4,888 modelledLongs at 4,190.3–4,211.7 (-1.75%): ≈ $17K modelledLongs at 4,211.7–4,233 (-1.25%): ≈ $17K modelledLongs at 4,233–4,254.4 (-0.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,275.8–4,297.2 (+0.25%): ≈ $607 modelledShorts at 4,297.2–4,318.6 (+0.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,318.6–4,339.9 (+1.25%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,339.9–4,361.3 (+1.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,361.3–4,382.7 (+2.25%): ≈ $4,673 modelledShorts at 4,382.7–4,404.1 (+2.75%): ≈ $4,650 modelledShorts at 4,404.1–4,425.5 (+3.25%): ≈ $4,627 modelledShorts at 4,425.5–4,446.8 (+3.75%): ≈ $4,605 modelledShorts at 4,446.8–4,468.2 (+4.25%): ≈ $4,583 modelledShorts at 4,468.2–4,489.6 (+4.75%): ≈ $4,561 modelledShorts at 4,489.6–4,511 (+5.25%): ≈ $7,820 modelledShorts at 4,511–4,532.4 (+5.75%): ≈ $8,606 modelledShorts at 4,532.4–4,553.7 (+6.25%): ≈ $8,566 modelledShorts at 4,553.7–4,575.1 (+6.75%): ≈ $8,526 modelledShorts at 4,575.1–4,596.5 (+7.25%): ≈ $8,478 modelledShorts at 4,596.5–4,617.9 (+7.75%): ≈ $8,080 modelledShorts at 4,617.9–4,639.2 (+8.25%): ≈ $8,043 modelledShorts at 4,639.2–4,660.6 (+8.75%): ≈ $8,006 modelledShorts at 4,660.6–4,682 (+9.25%): ≈ $7,969 modelledShorts at 4,682–4,703.4 (+9.75%): ≈ $7,582 modelledShorts at 4,703.4–4,724.8 (+10.25%): ≈ $4,381 modelledShorts at 4,724.8–4,746.1 (+10.75%): ≈ $3,698 modelledShorts at 4,746.1–4,767.5 (+11.25%): ≈ $3,681 modelledShorts at 4,767.5–4,788.9 (+11.75%): ≈ $3,665 modelledShorts at 4,788.9–4,810.3 (+12.25%): ≈ $3,649 modelledShorts at 4,810.3–4,831.7 (+12.75%): ≈ $3,746 modelledShorts at 4,831.7–4,853 (+13.25%): ≈ $3,812 modelledShorts at 4,853–4,874.4 (+13.75%): ≈ $3,795 modelledShorts at 4,874.4–4,895.8 (+14.25%): ≈ $3,779 modelledShorts at 4,895.8–4,917.2 (+14.75%): ≈ $3,757 modelledShorts at 4,917.2–4,938.6 (+15.25%): ≈ $3,553 modelledShorts at 4,938.6–4,959.9 (+15.75%): ≈ $3,538 modelledShorts at 4,959.9–4,981.3 (+16.25%): ≈ $3,523 modelledShorts at 4,981.3–5,002.7 (+16.75%): ≈ $3,508 modelledShorts at 5,002.7–5,024.1 (+17.25%): ≈ $3,492 modelledShorts at 5,024.1–5,045.4 (+17.75%): ≈ $3,827 modelledShorts at 5,045.4–5,066.8 (+18.25%): ≈ $3,897 modelledShorts at 5,066.8–5,088.2 (+18.75%): ≈ $3,879 modelledShorts at 5,088.2–5,109.6 (+19.25%): ≈ $3,863 modelledShorts at 5,109.6–5,131 (+19.75%): ≈ $3,692 modelledShorts at 5,131–5,152.3 (+20.25%): ≈ $1,133 modelledShorts at 5,152.3–5,173.7 (+20.75%): ≈ $1,128 modelledShorts at 5,173.7–5,195.1 (+21.25%): ≈ $1,123 modelledShorts at 5,195.1–5,216.5 (+21.75%): ≈ $1,119 modelledShorts at 5,216.5–5,237.9 (+22.25%): ≈ $1,101 modelledShorts at 5,237.9–5,259.2 (+22.75%): ≈ $1,094 modelledShorts at 5,259.2–5,280.6 (+23.25%): ≈ $1,118 modelledShorts at 5,280.6–5,302 (+23.75%): ≈ $1,113 modelledShorts at 5,302–5,323.4 (+24.25%): ≈ $1,109 modelledShorts at 5,323.4–5,344.8 (+24.75%): ≈ $1,104 modelled3,206.9-25.00%3,634.4-15.00%4,062-5.00%4,489.6+5.00%4,917.2+15.00%5,344.8+25.00%XAUT 4,275.8Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate$8,295$122K$17K$244KLongs at 3,271–3,292.4 (-23.25%): ≈ $178 modelledLongs at 3,292.4–3,313.7 (-22.75%): ≈ $1,156 modelledLongs at 3,313.7–3,335.1 (-22.25%): ≈ $1,148 modelledLongs at 3,335.1–3,356.5 (-21.75%): ≈ $1,141 modelledLongs at 3,356.5–3,377.9 (-21.25%): ≈ $1,133 modelledLongs at 3,377.9–3,399.3 (-20.75%): ≈ $1,126 modelledLongs at 3,399.3–3,420.6 (-20.25%): ≈ $1,119 modelledLongs at 3,420.6–3,442 (-19.75%): ≈ $3,509 modelledLongs at 3,442–3,463.4 (-19.25%): ≈ $3,804 modelledLongs at 3,463.4–3,484.8 (-18.75%): ≈ $3,781 modelledLongs at 3,484.8–3,506.2 (-18.25%): ≈ $3,757 modelledLongs at 3,506.2–3,527.5 (-17.75%): ≈ $3,735 modelledLongs at 3,527.5–3,548.9 (-17.25%): ≈ $3,711 modelledLongs at 3,548.9–3,570.3 (-16.75%): ≈ $3,690 modelledLongs at 3,570.3–3,591.7 (-16.25%): ≈ $3,667 modelledLongs at 3,591.7–3,613.1 (-15.75%): ≈ $3,646 modelledLongs at 3,613.1–3,634.4 (-15.25%): ≈ $3,625 modelledLongs at 3,634.4–3,655.8 (-14.75%): ≈ $3,603 modelledLongs at 3,655.8–3,677.2 (-14.25%): ≈ $3,582 modelledLongs at 3,677.2–3,698.6 (-13.75%): ≈ $3,562 modelledLongs at 3,698.6–3,719.9 (-13.25%): ≈ $3,540 modelledLongs at 3,719.9–3,741.3 (-12.75%): ≈ $3,520 modelledLongs at 3,741.3–3,762.7 (-12.25%): ≈ $3,763 modelledLongs at 3,762.7–3,784.1 (-11.75%): ≈ $3,797 modelledLongs at 3,784.1–3,805.5 (-11.25%): ≈ $3,775 modelledLongs at 3,805.5–3,826.8 (-10.75%): ≈ $3,754 modelledLongs at 3,826.8–3,848.2 (-10.25%): ≈ $3,734 modelledLongs at 3,848.2–3,869.6 (-9.75%): ≈ $8,005 modelledLongs at 3,869.6–3,891 (-9.25%): ≈ $8,205 modelledLongs at 3,891–3,912.4 (-8.75%): ≈ $8,160 modelledLongs at 3,912.4–3,933.7 (-8.25%): ≈ $8,116 modelledLongs at 3,933.7–3,955.1 (-7.75%): ≈ $8,072 modelledLongs at 3,955.1–3,976.5 (-7.25%): ≈ $8,029 modelledLongs at 3,976.5–3,997.9 (-6.75%): ≈ $7,985 modelledLongs at 3,997.9–4,019.3 (-6.25%): ≈ $7,942 modelledLongs at 4,019.3–4,040.6 (-5.75%): ≈ $7,900 modelledLongs at 4,040.6–4,062 (-5.25%): ≈ $7,859 modelledLongs at 4,062–4,083.4 (-4.75%): ≈ $5,638 modelledLongs at 4,083.4–4,104.8 (-4.25%): ≈ $4,990 modelledLongs at 4,104.8–4,126.2 (-3.75%): ≈ $4,964 modelledLongs at 4,126.2–4,147.5 (-3.25%): ≈ $4,939 modelledLongs at 4,147.5–4,168.9 (-2.75%): ≈ $4,913 modelledLongs at 4,168.9–4,190.3 (-2.25%): ≈ $4,888 modelledLongs at 4,190.3–4,211.7 (-1.75%): ≈ $17K modelledLongs at 4,211.7–4,233 (-1.25%): ≈ $17K modelledLongs at 4,233–4,254.4 (-0.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,275.8–4,297.2 (+0.25%): ≈ $607 modelledShorts at 4,297.2–4,318.6 (+0.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,318.6–4,339.9 (+1.25%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,339.9–4,361.3 (+1.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,361.3–4,382.7 (+2.25%): ≈ $4,673 modelledShorts at 4,382.7–4,404.1 (+2.75%): ≈ $4,650 modelledShorts at 4,404.1–4,425.5 (+3.25%): ≈ $4,627 modelledShorts at 4,425.5–4,446.8 (+3.75%): ≈ $4,605 modelledShorts at 4,446.8–4,468.2 (+4.25%): ≈ $4,583 modelledShorts at 4,468.2–4,489.6 (+4.75%): ≈ $4,561 modelledShorts at 4,489.6–4,511 (+5.25%): ≈ $7,820 modelledShorts at 4,511–4,532.4 (+5.75%): ≈ $8,606 modelledShorts at 4,532.4–4,553.7 (+6.25%): ≈ $8,566 modelledShorts at 4,553.7–4,575.1 (+6.75%): ≈ $8,526 modelledShorts at 4,575.1–4,596.5 (+7.25%): ≈ $8,478 modelledShorts at 4,596.5–4,617.9 (+7.75%): ≈ $8,080 modelledShorts at 4,617.9–4,639.2 (+8.25%): ≈ $8,043 modelledShorts at 4,639.2–4,660.6 (+8.75%): ≈ $8,006 modelledShorts at 4,660.6–4,682 (+9.25%): ≈ $7,969 modelledShorts at 4,682–4,703.4 (+9.75%): ≈ $7,582 modelledShorts at 4,703.4–4,724.8 (+10.25%): ≈ $4,381 modelledShorts at 4,724.8–4,746.1 (+10.75%): ≈ $3,698 modelledShorts at 4,746.1–4,767.5 (+11.25%): ≈ $3,681 modelledShorts at 4,767.5–4,788.9 (+11.75%): ≈ $3,665 modelledShorts at 4,788.9–4,810.3 (+12.25%): ≈ $3,649 modelledShorts at 4,810.3–4,831.7 (+12.75%): ≈ $3,746 modelledShorts at 4,831.7–4,853 (+13.25%): ≈ $3,812 modelledShorts at 4,853–4,874.4 (+13.75%): ≈ $3,795 modelledShorts at 4,874.4–4,895.8 (+14.25%): ≈ $3,779 modelledShorts at 4,895.8–4,917.2 (+14.75%): ≈ $3,757 modelledShorts at 4,917.2–4,938.6 (+15.25%): ≈ $3,553 modelledShorts at 4,938.6–4,959.9 (+15.75%): ≈ $3,538 modelledShorts at 4,959.9–4,981.3 (+16.25%): ≈ $3,523 modelledShorts at 4,981.3–5,002.7 (+16.75%): ≈ $3,508 modelledShorts at 5,002.7–5,024.1 (+17.25%): ≈ $3,492 modelledShorts at 5,024.1–5,045.4 (+17.75%): ≈ $3,827 modelledShorts at 5,045.4–5,066.8 (+18.25%): ≈ $3,897 modelledShorts at 5,066.8–5,088.2 (+18.75%): ≈ $3,879 modelledShorts at 5,088.2–5,109.6 (+19.25%): ≈ $3,863 modelledShorts at 5,109.6–5,131 (+19.75%): ≈ $3,692 modelledShorts at 5,131–5,152.3 (+20.25%): ≈ $1,133 modelledShorts at 5,152.3–5,173.7 (+20.75%): ≈ $1,128 modelledShorts at 5,173.7–5,195.1 (+21.25%): ≈ $1,123 modelledShorts at 5,195.1–5,216.5 (+21.75%): ≈ $1,119 modelledShorts at 5,216.5–5,237.9 (+22.25%): ≈ $1,101 modelledShorts at 5,237.9–5,259.2 (+22.75%): ≈ $1,094 modelledShorts at 5,259.2–5,280.6 (+23.25%): ≈ $1,118 modelledShorts at 5,280.6–5,302 (+23.75%): ≈ $1,113 modelledShorts at 5,302–5,323.4 (+24.25%): ≈ $1,109 modelledShorts at 5,323.4–5,344.8 (+24.75%): ≈ $1,104 modelled3,206.9-25.00%3,741.3-12.50%4,810.3+12.50%5,344.8+25.00%XAUT 4,275.8Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate
Longs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)Cumulative from the price outwards (right axis)

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All leverage · positions opened in the last 3 days. Each bar is 21.379 wide. Outside the chart: ≈ $0 of longs and $13K of shorts.

See how these levels built up over time on the XAUT liquidation heatmap.

Densest long liquidation levels

below 4,275.8
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
4,190.3–4,211.7-1.75%$17K
4,211.7–4,233-1.25%$17K
4,233–4,254.4-0.75%$16K
3,869.6–3,891-9.25%$8,205
3,891–3,912.4-8.75%$8,160

Densest short liquidation levels

above 4,275.8
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
4,297.2–4,318.6+0.75%$16K
4,318.6–4,339.9+1.25%$16K
4,339.9–4,361.3+1.75%$16K
4,511–4,532.4+5.75%$8,606
4,532.4–4,553.7+6.25%$8,566

Modelled liquidations near the price

All leverage · last 3 days
Price moveLongs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)
±2%$49K$49K
±5%$78K$78K
±10%$160K$158K

How this estimate is made

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27

Inputs are the open interest, prices and volume this site records from Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. Every rise in open interest is booked as a new long and a new short at the period's volume-weighted price; falls in open interest close positions proportionally; positions also decay with a multi-day half-life; and a level is removed once the price trades through it (those are the "modelled liquidations"). Liquidation prices are spread over this distance-from-entry distribution, measured on real Hyperliquid positions:

Liquidation distance from entryShare of new positions
0% – 2%12.0%
2% – 5%7.0%
5% – 10%20.0%
10% – 20%18.0%
20% – 50%17.0%

Known limits: prices are last-trade bars averaged across exchanges, not mark prices; opens and closes inside one open-interest snapshot (5 minutes on Binance) cancel out; one distribution is used for every coin and both sides. USD values are "≈ modelled", best read as relative intensity. Full method and a daily accuracy scoreboard against real liquidations: liquidation heatmap methodology. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.

XAUT liquidation map FAQ

Is this XAUT liquidation map real data?

No, it is a model estimate. Exchanges do not publish where their users' positions would be liquidated, so every liquidation heatmap for Binance or Bybit (including the well-known ones) is a model. This one starts from real data: the open interest changes, prices and trading volume this site records from the exchanges' public APIs. Actual liquidations are usually lower, because most positions are closed long before they are liquidated.

How is it calculated?

Every rise in open interest is a new long and a new short, entered at that period's volume-weighted price. The model spreads their liquidation prices over a distance-to-liquidation distribution measured on real Hyperliquid positions (74.0% of new positions within 50% of entry; the rest are too far away or can't be liquidated). Falls in open interest close positions proportionally, positions also decay with a 5-day half-life, and a level is removed once the price trades through it. The model version on the chart says which formula and distribution were used.

What do the ranges and the ≥25× view mean?

The range is the replay window: the map shows positions opened in the last 12 hours to 30 days. All leverage uses the whole distribution; High leverage (≥25×) keeps only positions liquidated within 4% of their entry, the short-term levels that get hit first.

How is this different from the Hyperliquid liquidation map?

Hyperliquid is an on-chain exchange, so its positions and their liquidation prices are public. The Hyperliquid liquidation map adds up the real positions of tracked wallets on Hyperliquid only (there is none for XAUT, which has no Hyperliquid perp). This page is an estimate for all tracked exchanges together, Binance, Bybit and Hyperliquid included. Use both: where they agree, the level is more likely real.

Can I trade on it?

Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.