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XAUT Liquidation Map (Estimated)

An estimated liquidation map for XAUT: the modelled value of positions that would be liquidated at each price if it got there, longs below the current price and shorts above, from positions opened in the chosen window across Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin.

The model places $236K of long and $252K of short liquidation levels for XAUT from positions opened in the last 24 hours (all leverage). Within 10% of the 4,277.4 price: about $156K of longs below and $156K of shorts above. The densest modelled clusters are longs near 4,202.6 (-1.75%) and shorts near 4,309.5 (+0.75%).

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27All leverage · last 24 hoursOpen interest $107.14MAs of 20:52 UTC

This is a model estimate for all tracked exchanges, not real positions.

Long levelswithin −10%
$156K
densest near 4,202.6
Short levelswithin +10%
$156K
densest near 4,309.5
Modelled liquidationslast 24 hours
$0
exchanges reported $497
Open interestall exchanges
$107.14M
$236K long · $252K short levels

XAUT liquidation map · ±25% · 24 hours

$4,087$60K$8,174$120K$12K$180K$16K$240KLongs at 3,272.2–3,293.6 (-23.25%): ≈ $208 modelledLongs at 3,293.6–3,315 (-22.75%): ≈ $1,133 modelledLongs at 3,315–3,336.4 (-22.25%): ≈ $1,126 modelledLongs at 3,336.4–3,357.8 (-21.75%): ≈ $1,118 modelledLongs at 3,357.8–3,379.2 (-21.25%): ≈ $1,111 modelledLongs at 3,379.2–3,400.5 (-20.75%): ≈ $1,104 modelledLongs at 3,400.5–3,421.9 (-20.25%): ≈ $1,097 modelledLongs at 3,421.9–3,443.3 (-19.75%): ≈ $3,521 modelledLongs at 3,443.3–3,464.7 (-19.25%): ≈ $3,730 modelledLongs at 3,464.7–3,486.1 (-18.75%): ≈ $3,707 modelledLongs at 3,486.1–3,507.5 (-18.25%): ≈ $3,684 modelledLongs at 3,507.5–3,528.9 (-17.75%): ≈ $3,662 modelledLongs at 3,528.9–3,550.3 (-17.25%): ≈ $3,639 modelledLongs at 3,550.3–3,571.6 (-16.75%): ≈ $3,618 modelledLongs at 3,571.6–3,593 (-16.25%): ≈ $3,596 modelledLongs at 3,593–3,614.4 (-15.75%): ≈ $3,575 modelledLongs at 3,614.4–3,635.8 (-15.25%): ≈ $3,554 modelledLongs at 3,635.8–3,657.2 (-14.75%): ≈ $3,532 modelledLongs at 3,657.2–3,678.6 (-14.25%): ≈ $3,512 modelledLongs at 3,678.6–3,700 (-13.75%): ≈ $3,492 modelledLongs at 3,700–3,721.4 (-13.25%): ≈ $3,471 modelledLongs at 3,721.4–3,742.7 (-12.75%): ≈ $3,452 modelledLongs at 3,742.7–3,764.1 (-12.25%): ≈ $3,700 modelledLongs at 3,764.1–3,785.5 (-11.75%): ≈ $3,723 modelledLongs at 3,785.5–3,806.9 (-11.25%): ≈ $3,702 modelledLongs at 3,806.9–3,828.3 (-10.75%): ≈ $3,681 modelledLongs at 3,828.3–3,849.7 (-10.25%): ≈ $3,661 modelledLongs at 3,849.7–3,871.1 (-9.75%): ≈ $7,999 modelledLongs at 3,871.1–3,892.5 (-9.25%): ≈ $8,045 modelledLongs at 3,892.5–3,913.8 (-8.75%): ≈ $8,001 modelledLongs at 3,913.8–3,935.2 (-8.25%): ≈ $7,958 modelledLongs at 3,935.2–3,956.6 (-7.75%): ≈ $7,915 modelledLongs at 3,956.6–3,978 (-7.25%): ≈ $7,872 modelledLongs at 3,978–3,999.4 (-6.75%): ≈ $7,829 modelledLongs at 3,999.4–4,020.8 (-6.25%): ≈ $7,787 modelledLongs at 4,020.8–4,042.2 (-5.75%): ≈ $7,746 modelledLongs at 4,042.2–4,063.5 (-5.25%): ≈ $7,705 modelledLongs at 4,063.5–4,084.9 (-4.75%): ≈ $5,430 modelledLongs at 4,084.9–4,106.3 (-4.25%): ≈ $4,893 modelledLongs at 4,106.3–4,127.7 (-3.75%): ≈ $4,867 modelledLongs at 4,127.7–4,149.1 (-3.25%): ≈ $4,842 modelledLongs at 4,149.1–4,170.5 (-2.75%): ≈ $4,817 modelledLongs at 4,170.5–4,191.9 (-2.25%): ≈ $5,137 modelledLongs at 4,191.9–4,213.3 (-1.75%): ≈ $16K modelledLongs at 4,213.3–4,234.6 (-1.25%): ≈ $16K modelledLongs at 4,234.6–4,256 (-0.75%): ≈ $15K modelledShorts at 4,277.4–4,298.8 (+0.25%): ≈ $1,196 modelledShorts at 4,298.8–4,320.2 (+0.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,320.2–4,341.6 (+1.25%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,341.6–4,363 (+1.75%): ≈ $15K modelledShorts at 4,363–4,384.4 (+2.25%): ≈ $4,582 modelledShorts at 4,384.4–4,405.7 (+2.75%): ≈ $4,559 modelledShorts at 4,405.7–4,427.1 (+3.25%): ≈ $4,537 modelledShorts at 4,427.1–4,448.5 (+3.75%): ≈ $4,515 modelledShorts at 4,448.5–4,469.9 (+4.25%): ≈ $4,494 modelledShorts at 4,469.9–4,491.3 (+4.75%): ≈ $4,472 modelledShorts at 4,491.3–4,512.7 (+5.25%): ≈ $7,826 modelledShorts at 4,512.7–4,534.1 (+5.75%): ≈ $8,438 modelledShorts at 4,534.1–4,555.5 (+6.25%): ≈ $8,399 modelledShorts at 4,555.5–4,576.8 (+6.75%): ≈ $8,359 modelledShorts at 4,576.8–4,598.2 (+7.25%): ≈ $8,316 modelledShorts at 4,598.2–4,619.6 (+7.75%): ≈ $8,212 modelledShorts at 4,619.6–4,641 (+8.25%): ≈ $8,173 modelledShorts at 4,641–4,662.4 (+8.75%): ≈ $8,135 modelledShorts at 4,662.4–4,683.8 (+9.25%): ≈ $8,098 modelledShorts at 4,683.8–4,705.2 (+9.75%): ≈ $7,337 modelledShorts at 4,705.2–4,726.5 (+10.25%): ≈ $3,758 modelledShorts at 4,726.5–4,747.9 (+10.75%): ≈ $3,626 modelledShorts at 4,747.9–4,769.3 (+11.25%): ≈ $3,609 modelledShorts at 4,769.3–4,790.7 (+11.75%): ≈ $3,593 modelledShorts at 4,790.7–4,812.1 (+12.25%): ≈ $3,577 modelledShorts at 4,812.1–4,833.5 (+12.75%): ≈ $3,585 modelledShorts at 4,833.5–4,854.9 (+13.25%): ≈ $3,583 modelledShorts at 4,854.9–4,876.3 (+13.75%): ≈ $3,567 modelledShorts at 4,876.3–4,897.6 (+14.25%): ≈ $3,552 modelledShorts at 4,897.6–4,919 (+14.75%): ≈ $3,534 modelledShorts at 4,919–4,940.4 (+15.25%): ≈ $3,484 modelledShorts at 4,940.4–4,961.8 (+15.75%): ≈ $3,469 modelledShorts at 4,961.8–4,983.2 (+16.25%): ≈ $3,454 modelledShorts at 4,983.2–5,004.6 (+16.75%): ≈ $3,440 modelledShorts at 5,004.6–5,026 (+17.25%): ≈ $3,424 modelledShorts at 5,026–5,047.4 (+17.75%): ≈ $3,771 modelledShorts at 5,047.4–5,068.7 (+18.25%): ≈ $3,821 modelledShorts at 5,068.7–5,090.1 (+18.75%): ≈ $3,804 modelledShorts at 5,090.1–5,111.5 (+19.25%): ≈ $3,788 modelledShorts at 5,111.5–5,132.9 (+19.75%): ≈ $3,503 modelledShorts at 5,132.9–5,154.3 (+20.25%): ≈ $1,132 modelledShorts at 5,154.3–5,175.7 (+20.75%): ≈ $1,127 modelledShorts at 5,175.7–5,197.1 (+21.25%): ≈ $1,122 modelledShorts at 5,197.1–5,218.5 (+21.75%): ≈ $1,118 modelledShorts at 5,218.5–5,239.8 (+22.25%): ≈ $1,100 modelledShorts at 5,239.8–5,261.2 (+22.75%): ≈ $1,091 modelledShorts at 5,261.2–5,282.6 (+23.25%): ≈ $1,104 modelledShorts at 5,282.6–5,304 (+23.75%): ≈ $1,100 modelledShorts at 5,304–5,325.4 (+24.25%): ≈ $1,095 modelledShorts at 5,325.4–5,346.8 (+24.75%): ≈ $1,091 modelled3,208.1-25.00%3,635.8-15.00%4,063.5-5.00%4,491.3+5.00%4,919+15.00%5,346.8+25.00%XAUT 4,277.4Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate$8,174$120K$16K$240KLongs at 3,272.2–3,293.6 (-23.25%): ≈ $208 modelledLongs at 3,293.6–3,315 (-22.75%): ≈ $1,133 modelledLongs at 3,315–3,336.4 (-22.25%): ≈ $1,126 modelledLongs at 3,336.4–3,357.8 (-21.75%): ≈ $1,118 modelledLongs at 3,357.8–3,379.2 (-21.25%): ≈ $1,111 modelledLongs at 3,379.2–3,400.5 (-20.75%): ≈ $1,104 modelledLongs at 3,400.5–3,421.9 (-20.25%): ≈ $1,097 modelledLongs at 3,421.9–3,443.3 (-19.75%): ≈ $3,521 modelledLongs at 3,443.3–3,464.7 (-19.25%): ≈ $3,730 modelledLongs at 3,464.7–3,486.1 (-18.75%): ≈ $3,707 modelledLongs at 3,486.1–3,507.5 (-18.25%): ≈ $3,684 modelledLongs at 3,507.5–3,528.9 (-17.75%): ≈ $3,662 modelledLongs at 3,528.9–3,550.3 (-17.25%): ≈ $3,639 modelledLongs at 3,550.3–3,571.6 (-16.75%): ≈ $3,618 modelledLongs at 3,571.6–3,593 (-16.25%): ≈ $3,596 modelledLongs at 3,593–3,614.4 (-15.75%): ≈ $3,575 modelledLongs at 3,614.4–3,635.8 (-15.25%): ≈ $3,554 modelledLongs at 3,635.8–3,657.2 (-14.75%): ≈ $3,532 modelledLongs at 3,657.2–3,678.6 (-14.25%): ≈ $3,512 modelledLongs at 3,678.6–3,700 (-13.75%): ≈ $3,492 modelledLongs at 3,700–3,721.4 (-13.25%): ≈ $3,471 modelledLongs at 3,721.4–3,742.7 (-12.75%): ≈ $3,452 modelledLongs at 3,742.7–3,764.1 (-12.25%): ≈ $3,700 modelledLongs at 3,764.1–3,785.5 (-11.75%): ≈ $3,723 modelledLongs at 3,785.5–3,806.9 (-11.25%): ≈ $3,702 modelledLongs at 3,806.9–3,828.3 (-10.75%): ≈ $3,681 modelledLongs at 3,828.3–3,849.7 (-10.25%): ≈ $3,661 modelledLongs at 3,849.7–3,871.1 (-9.75%): ≈ $7,999 modelledLongs at 3,871.1–3,892.5 (-9.25%): ≈ $8,045 modelledLongs at 3,892.5–3,913.8 (-8.75%): ≈ $8,001 modelledLongs at 3,913.8–3,935.2 (-8.25%): ≈ $7,958 modelledLongs at 3,935.2–3,956.6 (-7.75%): ≈ $7,915 modelledLongs at 3,956.6–3,978 (-7.25%): ≈ $7,872 modelledLongs at 3,978–3,999.4 (-6.75%): ≈ $7,829 modelledLongs at 3,999.4–4,020.8 (-6.25%): ≈ $7,787 modelledLongs at 4,020.8–4,042.2 (-5.75%): ≈ $7,746 modelledLongs at 4,042.2–4,063.5 (-5.25%): ≈ $7,705 modelledLongs at 4,063.5–4,084.9 (-4.75%): ≈ $5,430 modelledLongs at 4,084.9–4,106.3 (-4.25%): ≈ $4,893 modelledLongs at 4,106.3–4,127.7 (-3.75%): ≈ $4,867 modelledLongs at 4,127.7–4,149.1 (-3.25%): ≈ $4,842 modelledLongs at 4,149.1–4,170.5 (-2.75%): ≈ $4,817 modelledLongs at 4,170.5–4,191.9 (-2.25%): ≈ $5,137 modelledLongs at 4,191.9–4,213.3 (-1.75%): ≈ $16K modelledLongs at 4,213.3–4,234.6 (-1.25%): ≈ $16K modelledLongs at 4,234.6–4,256 (-0.75%): ≈ $15K modelledShorts at 4,277.4–4,298.8 (+0.25%): ≈ $1,196 modelledShorts at 4,298.8–4,320.2 (+0.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,320.2–4,341.6 (+1.25%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,341.6–4,363 (+1.75%): ≈ $15K modelledShorts at 4,363–4,384.4 (+2.25%): ≈ $4,582 modelledShorts at 4,384.4–4,405.7 (+2.75%): ≈ $4,559 modelledShorts at 4,405.7–4,427.1 (+3.25%): ≈ $4,537 modelledShorts at 4,427.1–4,448.5 (+3.75%): ≈ $4,515 modelledShorts at 4,448.5–4,469.9 (+4.25%): ≈ $4,494 modelledShorts at 4,469.9–4,491.3 (+4.75%): ≈ $4,472 modelledShorts at 4,491.3–4,512.7 (+5.25%): ≈ $7,826 modelledShorts at 4,512.7–4,534.1 (+5.75%): ≈ $8,438 modelledShorts at 4,534.1–4,555.5 (+6.25%): ≈ $8,399 modelledShorts at 4,555.5–4,576.8 (+6.75%): ≈ $8,359 modelledShorts at 4,576.8–4,598.2 (+7.25%): ≈ $8,316 modelledShorts at 4,598.2–4,619.6 (+7.75%): ≈ $8,212 modelledShorts at 4,619.6–4,641 (+8.25%): ≈ $8,173 modelledShorts at 4,641–4,662.4 (+8.75%): ≈ $8,135 modelledShorts at 4,662.4–4,683.8 (+9.25%): ≈ $8,098 modelledShorts at 4,683.8–4,705.2 (+9.75%): ≈ $7,337 modelledShorts at 4,705.2–4,726.5 (+10.25%): ≈ $3,758 modelledShorts at 4,726.5–4,747.9 (+10.75%): ≈ $3,626 modelledShorts at 4,747.9–4,769.3 (+11.25%): ≈ $3,609 modelledShorts at 4,769.3–4,790.7 (+11.75%): ≈ $3,593 modelledShorts at 4,790.7–4,812.1 (+12.25%): ≈ $3,577 modelledShorts at 4,812.1–4,833.5 (+12.75%): ≈ $3,585 modelledShorts at 4,833.5–4,854.9 (+13.25%): ≈ $3,583 modelledShorts at 4,854.9–4,876.3 (+13.75%): ≈ $3,567 modelledShorts at 4,876.3–4,897.6 (+14.25%): ≈ $3,552 modelledShorts at 4,897.6–4,919 (+14.75%): ≈ $3,534 modelledShorts at 4,919–4,940.4 (+15.25%): ≈ $3,484 modelledShorts at 4,940.4–4,961.8 (+15.75%): ≈ $3,469 modelledShorts at 4,961.8–4,983.2 (+16.25%): ≈ $3,454 modelledShorts at 4,983.2–5,004.6 (+16.75%): ≈ $3,440 modelledShorts at 5,004.6–5,026 (+17.25%): ≈ $3,424 modelledShorts at 5,026–5,047.4 (+17.75%): ≈ $3,771 modelledShorts at 5,047.4–5,068.7 (+18.25%): ≈ $3,821 modelledShorts at 5,068.7–5,090.1 (+18.75%): ≈ $3,804 modelledShorts at 5,090.1–5,111.5 (+19.25%): ≈ $3,788 modelledShorts at 5,111.5–5,132.9 (+19.75%): ≈ $3,503 modelledShorts at 5,132.9–5,154.3 (+20.25%): ≈ $1,132 modelledShorts at 5,154.3–5,175.7 (+20.75%): ≈ $1,127 modelledShorts at 5,175.7–5,197.1 (+21.25%): ≈ $1,122 modelledShorts at 5,197.1–5,218.5 (+21.75%): ≈ $1,118 modelledShorts at 5,218.5–5,239.8 (+22.25%): ≈ $1,100 modelledShorts at 5,239.8–5,261.2 (+22.75%): ≈ $1,091 modelledShorts at 5,261.2–5,282.6 (+23.25%): ≈ $1,104 modelledShorts at 5,282.6–5,304 (+23.75%): ≈ $1,100 modelledShorts at 5,304–5,325.4 (+24.25%): ≈ $1,095 modelledShorts at 5,325.4–5,346.8 (+24.75%): ≈ $1,091 modelled3,208.1-25.00%3,742.7-12.50%4,812.1+12.50%5,346.8+25.00%XAUT 4,277.4Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate
Longs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)Cumulative from the price outwards (right axis)

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All leverage · positions opened in the last 24 hours. Each bar is 21.387 wide. Outside the chart: ≈ $0 of longs and $12K of shorts.

See how these levels built up over time on the XAUT liquidation heatmap.

Densest long liquidation levels

below 4,277.4
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
4,191.9–4,213.3-1.75%$16K
4,213.3–4,234.6-1.25%$16K
4,234.6–4,256-0.75%$15K
3,871.1–3,892.5-9.25%$8,045
3,892.5–3,913.8-8.75%$8,001

Densest short liquidation levels

above 4,277.4
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
4,298.8–4,320.2+0.75%$16K
4,320.2–4,341.6+1.25%$16K
4,341.6–4,363+1.75%$15K
4,512.7–4,534.1+5.75%$8,438
4,534.1–4,555.5+6.25%$8,399

Modelled liquidations near the price

All leverage · last 24 hours
Price moveLongs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)
±2%$48K$48K
±5%$76K$76K
±10%$156K$156K

How this estimate is made

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27

Inputs are the open interest, prices and volume this site records from Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. Every rise in open interest is booked as a new long and a new short at the period's volume-weighted price; falls in open interest close positions proportionally; positions also decay with a multi-day half-life; and a level is removed once the price trades through it (those are the "modelled liquidations"). Liquidation prices are spread over this distance-from-entry distribution, measured on real Hyperliquid positions:

Liquidation distance from entryShare of new positions
0% – 2%12.0%
2% – 5%7.0%
5% – 10%20.0%
10% – 20%18.0%
20% – 50%17.0%

Known limits: prices are last-trade bars averaged across exchanges, not mark prices; opens and closes inside one open-interest snapshot (5 minutes on Binance) cancel out; one distribution is used for every coin and both sides. USD values are "≈ modelled", best read as relative intensity. Full method and a daily accuracy scoreboard against real liquidations: liquidation heatmap methodology. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.

XAUT liquidation map FAQ

Is this XAUT liquidation map real data?

No, it is a model estimate. Exchanges do not publish where their users' positions would be liquidated, so every liquidation heatmap for Binance or Bybit (including the well-known ones) is a model. This one starts from real data: the open interest changes, prices and trading volume this site records from the exchanges' public APIs. Actual liquidations are usually lower, because most positions are closed long before they are liquidated.

How is it calculated?

Every rise in open interest is a new long and a new short, entered at that period's volume-weighted price. The model spreads their liquidation prices over a distance-to-liquidation distribution measured on real Hyperliquid positions (74.0% of new positions within 50% of entry; the rest are too far away or can't be liquidated). Falls in open interest close positions proportionally, positions also decay with a 5-day half-life, and a level is removed once the price trades through it. The model version on the chart says which formula and distribution were used.

What do the ranges and the ≥25× view mean?

The range is the replay window: the map shows positions opened in the last 12 hours to 30 days. All leverage uses the whole distribution; High leverage (≥25×) keeps only positions liquidated within 4% of their entry, the short-term levels that get hit first.

How is this different from the Hyperliquid liquidation map?

Hyperliquid is an on-chain exchange, so its positions and their liquidation prices are public. The Hyperliquid liquidation map adds up the real positions of tracked wallets on Hyperliquid only (there is none for XAUT, which has no Hyperliquid perp). This page is an estimate for all tracked exchanges together, Binance, Bybit and Hyperliquid included. Use both: where they agree, the level is more likely real.

Can I trade on it?

Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.