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XAU Liquidation Map (Estimated)

An estimated liquidation map for XAU: the modelled value of positions that would be liquidated at each price if it got there, longs below the current price and shorts above, from positions opened in the chosen window across Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin.

The model places $239K of long and $256K of short liquidation levels for XAU from positions opened in the last 24 hours (all leverage). Within 10% of the 4,286.1 price: about $159K of longs below and $157K of shorts above. The densest modelled clusters are longs near 4,211.1 (-1.75%) and shorts near 4,318.3 (+0.75%).

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27All leverage · last 24 hoursOpen interest $55.54MAs of 20:08 UTC

This is a model estimate for all tracked exchanges, not real positions.

Long levelswithin −10%
$159K
densest near 4,211.1
Short levelswithin +10%
$157K
densest near 4,318.3
Modelled liquidationslast 24 hours
$0
exchanges reported $0
Open interestall exchanges
$55.54M
$239K long · $256K short levels

XAU liquidation map · ±25% · 24 hours

$4,147$61K$8,295$122K$12K$182K$17K$243KLongs at 3,278.9–3,300.3 (-23.25%): ≈ $260 modelledLongs at 3,300.3–3,321.8 (-22.75%): ≈ $1,150 modelledLongs at 3,321.8–3,343.2 (-22.25%): ≈ $1,142 modelledLongs at 3,343.2–3,364.6 (-21.75%): ≈ $1,135 modelledLongs at 3,364.6–3,386 (-21.25%): ≈ $1,128 modelledLongs at 3,386–3,407.5 (-20.75%): ≈ $1,121 modelledLongs at 3,407.5–3,428.9 (-20.25%): ≈ $1,114 modelledLongs at 3,428.9–3,450.3 (-19.75%): ≈ $3,693 modelledLongs at 3,450.3–3,471.8 (-19.25%): ≈ $3,785 modelledLongs at 3,471.8–3,493.2 (-18.75%): ≈ $3,761 modelledLongs at 3,493.2–3,514.6 (-18.25%): ≈ $3,738 modelledLongs at 3,514.6–3,536.1 (-17.75%): ≈ $3,716 modelledLongs at 3,536.1–3,557.5 (-17.25%): ≈ $3,693 modelledLongs at 3,557.5–3,578.9 (-16.75%): ≈ $3,671 modelledLongs at 3,578.9–3,600.3 (-16.25%): ≈ $3,649 modelledLongs at 3,600.3–3,621.8 (-15.75%): ≈ $3,628 modelledLongs at 3,621.8–3,643.2 (-15.25%): ≈ $3,606 modelledLongs at 3,643.2–3,664.6 (-14.75%): ≈ $3,585 modelledLongs at 3,664.6–3,686.1 (-14.25%): ≈ $3,564 modelledLongs at 3,686.1–3,707.5 (-13.75%): ≈ $3,543 modelledLongs at 3,707.5–3,728.9 (-13.25%): ≈ $3,523 modelledLongs at 3,728.9–3,750.4 (-12.75%): ≈ $3,503 modelledLongs at 3,750.4–3,771.8 (-12.25%): ≈ $3,770 modelledLongs at 3,771.8–3,793.2 (-11.75%): ≈ $3,778 modelledLongs at 3,793.2–3,814.7 (-11.25%): ≈ $3,757 modelledLongs at 3,814.7–3,836.1 (-10.75%): ≈ $3,736 modelledLongs at 3,836.1–3,857.5 (-10.25%): ≈ $3,849 modelledLongs at 3,857.5–3,878.9 (-9.75%): ≈ $8,209 modelledLongs at 3,878.9–3,900.4 (-9.25%): ≈ $8,164 modelledLongs at 3,900.4–3,921.8 (-8.75%): ≈ $8,119 modelledLongs at 3,921.8–3,943.2 (-8.25%): ≈ $8,075 modelledLongs at 3,943.2–3,964.7 (-7.75%): ≈ $8,032 modelledLongs at 3,964.7–3,986.1 (-7.25%): ≈ $7,987 modelledLongs at 3,986.1–4,007.5 (-6.75%): ≈ $7,945 modelledLongs at 4,007.5–4,029 (-6.25%): ≈ $7,903 modelledLongs at 4,029–4,050.4 (-5.75%): ≈ $7,861 modelledLongs at 4,050.4–4,071.8 (-5.25%): ≈ $7,819 modelledLongs at 4,071.8–4,093.3 (-4.75%): ≈ $5,363 modelledLongs at 4,093.3–4,114.7 (-4.25%): ≈ $4,965 modelledLongs at 4,114.7–4,136.1 (-3.75%): ≈ $4,939 modelledLongs at 4,136.1–4,157.5 (-3.25%): ≈ $4,914 modelledLongs at 4,157.5–4,179 (-2.75%): ≈ $4,888 modelledLongs at 4,179–4,200.4 (-2.25%): ≈ $5,852 modelledLongs at 4,200.4–4,221.8 (-1.75%): ≈ $17K modelledLongs at 4,221.8–4,243.3 (-1.25%): ≈ $17K modelledLongs at 4,243.3–4,264.7 (-0.75%): ≈ $14K modelledShorts at 4,286.1–4,307.6 (+0.25%): ≈ $2,117 modelledShorts at 4,307.6–4,329 (+0.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,329–4,350.4 (+1.25%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,350.4–4,371.9 (+1.75%): ≈ $15K modelledShorts at 4,371.9–4,393.3 (+2.25%): ≈ $4,649 modelledShorts at 4,393.3–4,414.7 (+2.75%): ≈ $4,627 modelledShorts at 4,414.7–4,436.1 (+3.25%): ≈ $4,604 modelledShorts at 4,436.1–4,457.6 (+3.75%): ≈ $4,582 modelledShorts at 4,457.6–4,479 (+4.25%): ≈ $4,560 modelledShorts at 4,479–4,500.4 (+4.75%): ≈ $4,538 modelledShorts at 4,500.4–4,521.9 (+5.25%): ≈ $8,180 modelledShorts at 4,521.9–4,543.3 (+5.75%): ≈ $8,563 modelledShorts at 4,543.3–4,564.7 (+6.25%): ≈ $8,522 modelledShorts at 4,564.7–4,586.2 (+6.75%): ≈ $8,483 modelledShorts at 4,586.2–4,607.6 (+7.25%): ≈ $8,409 modelledShorts at 4,607.6–4,629 (+7.75%): ≈ $8,119 modelledShorts at 4,629–4,650.5 (+8.25%): ≈ $8,081 modelledShorts at 4,650.5–4,671.9 (+8.75%): ≈ $8,044 modelledShorts at 4,671.9–4,693.3 (+9.25%): ≈ $8,007 modelledShorts at 4,693.3–4,714.7 (+9.75%): ≈ $7,257 modelledShorts at 4,714.7–4,736.2 (+10.25%): ≈ $4,087 modelledShorts at 4,736.2–4,757.6 (+10.75%): ≈ $3,680 modelledShorts at 4,757.6–4,779 (+11.25%): ≈ $3,663 modelledShorts at 4,779–4,800.5 (+11.75%): ≈ $3,646 modelledShorts at 4,800.5–4,821.9 (+12.25%): ≈ $3,630 modelledShorts at 4,821.9–4,843.3 (+12.75%): ≈ $3,719 modelledShorts at 4,843.3–4,864.8 (+13.25%): ≈ $3,751 modelledShorts at 4,864.8–4,886.2 (+13.75%): ≈ $3,734 modelledShorts at 4,886.2–4,907.6 (+14.25%): ≈ $3,718 modelledShorts at 4,907.6–4,929 (+14.75%): ≈ $3,681 modelledShorts at 4,929–4,950.5 (+15.25%): ≈ $3,536 modelledShorts at 4,950.5–4,971.9 (+15.75%): ≈ $3,520 modelledShorts at 4,971.9–4,993.3 (+16.25%): ≈ $3,505 modelledShorts at 4,993.3–5,014.8 (+16.75%): ≈ $3,491 modelledShorts at 5,014.8–5,036.2 (+17.25%): ≈ $3,475 modelledShorts at 5,036.2–5,057.6 (+17.75%): ≈ $3,855 modelledShorts at 5,057.6–5,079.1 (+18.25%): ≈ $3,877 modelledShorts at 5,079.1–5,100.5 (+18.75%): ≈ $3,861 modelledShorts at 5,100.5–5,121.9 (+19.25%): ≈ $3,844 modelledShorts at 5,121.9–5,143.4 (+19.75%): ≈ $3,374 modelledShorts at 5,143.4–5,164.8 (+20.25%): ≈ $1,135 modelledShorts at 5,164.8–5,186.2 (+20.75%): ≈ $1,130 modelledShorts at 5,186.2–5,207.6 (+21.25%): ≈ $1,126 modelledShorts at 5,207.6–5,229.1 (+21.75%): ≈ $1,121 modelledShorts at 5,229.1–5,250.5 (+22.25%): ≈ $1,094 modelledShorts at 5,250.5–5,271.9 (+22.75%): ≈ $1,091 modelledShorts at 5,271.9–5,293.4 (+23.25%): ≈ $1,104 modelledShorts at 5,293.4–5,314.8 (+23.75%): ≈ $1,100 modelledShorts at 5,314.8–5,336.2 (+24.25%): ≈ $1,096 modelledShorts at 5,336.2–5,357.7 (+24.75%): ≈ $1,091 modelled3,214.6-25.00%3,643.2-15.00%4,071.8-5.00%4,500.4+5.00%4,929+15.00%5,357.7+25.00%XAU 4,286.1Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate$8,295$122K$17K$243KLongs at 3,278.9–3,300.3 (-23.25%): ≈ $260 modelledLongs at 3,300.3–3,321.8 (-22.75%): ≈ $1,150 modelledLongs at 3,321.8–3,343.2 (-22.25%): ≈ $1,142 modelledLongs at 3,343.2–3,364.6 (-21.75%): ≈ $1,135 modelledLongs at 3,364.6–3,386 (-21.25%): ≈ $1,128 modelledLongs at 3,386–3,407.5 (-20.75%): ≈ $1,121 modelledLongs at 3,407.5–3,428.9 (-20.25%): ≈ $1,114 modelledLongs at 3,428.9–3,450.3 (-19.75%): ≈ $3,693 modelledLongs at 3,450.3–3,471.8 (-19.25%): ≈ $3,785 modelledLongs at 3,471.8–3,493.2 (-18.75%): ≈ $3,761 modelledLongs at 3,493.2–3,514.6 (-18.25%): ≈ $3,738 modelledLongs at 3,514.6–3,536.1 (-17.75%): ≈ $3,716 modelledLongs at 3,536.1–3,557.5 (-17.25%): ≈ $3,693 modelledLongs at 3,557.5–3,578.9 (-16.75%): ≈ $3,671 modelledLongs at 3,578.9–3,600.3 (-16.25%): ≈ $3,649 modelledLongs at 3,600.3–3,621.8 (-15.75%): ≈ $3,628 modelledLongs at 3,621.8–3,643.2 (-15.25%): ≈ $3,606 modelledLongs at 3,643.2–3,664.6 (-14.75%): ≈ $3,585 modelledLongs at 3,664.6–3,686.1 (-14.25%): ≈ $3,564 modelledLongs at 3,686.1–3,707.5 (-13.75%): ≈ $3,543 modelledLongs at 3,707.5–3,728.9 (-13.25%): ≈ $3,523 modelledLongs at 3,728.9–3,750.4 (-12.75%): ≈ $3,503 modelledLongs at 3,750.4–3,771.8 (-12.25%): ≈ $3,770 modelledLongs at 3,771.8–3,793.2 (-11.75%): ≈ $3,778 modelledLongs at 3,793.2–3,814.7 (-11.25%): ≈ $3,757 modelledLongs at 3,814.7–3,836.1 (-10.75%): ≈ $3,736 modelledLongs at 3,836.1–3,857.5 (-10.25%): ≈ $3,849 modelledLongs at 3,857.5–3,878.9 (-9.75%): ≈ $8,209 modelledLongs at 3,878.9–3,900.4 (-9.25%): ≈ $8,164 modelledLongs at 3,900.4–3,921.8 (-8.75%): ≈ $8,119 modelledLongs at 3,921.8–3,943.2 (-8.25%): ≈ $8,075 modelledLongs at 3,943.2–3,964.7 (-7.75%): ≈ $8,032 modelledLongs at 3,964.7–3,986.1 (-7.25%): ≈ $7,987 modelledLongs at 3,986.1–4,007.5 (-6.75%): ≈ $7,945 modelledLongs at 4,007.5–4,029 (-6.25%): ≈ $7,903 modelledLongs at 4,029–4,050.4 (-5.75%): ≈ $7,861 modelledLongs at 4,050.4–4,071.8 (-5.25%): ≈ $7,819 modelledLongs at 4,071.8–4,093.3 (-4.75%): ≈ $5,363 modelledLongs at 4,093.3–4,114.7 (-4.25%): ≈ $4,965 modelledLongs at 4,114.7–4,136.1 (-3.75%): ≈ $4,939 modelledLongs at 4,136.1–4,157.5 (-3.25%): ≈ $4,914 modelledLongs at 4,157.5–4,179 (-2.75%): ≈ $4,888 modelledLongs at 4,179–4,200.4 (-2.25%): ≈ $5,852 modelledLongs at 4,200.4–4,221.8 (-1.75%): ≈ $17K modelledLongs at 4,221.8–4,243.3 (-1.25%): ≈ $17K modelledLongs at 4,243.3–4,264.7 (-0.75%): ≈ $14K modelledShorts at 4,286.1–4,307.6 (+0.25%): ≈ $2,117 modelledShorts at 4,307.6–4,329 (+0.75%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,329–4,350.4 (+1.25%): ≈ $16K modelledShorts at 4,350.4–4,371.9 (+1.75%): ≈ $15K modelledShorts at 4,371.9–4,393.3 (+2.25%): ≈ $4,649 modelledShorts at 4,393.3–4,414.7 (+2.75%): ≈ $4,627 modelledShorts at 4,414.7–4,436.1 (+3.25%): ≈ $4,604 modelledShorts at 4,436.1–4,457.6 (+3.75%): ≈ $4,582 modelledShorts at 4,457.6–4,479 (+4.25%): ≈ $4,560 modelledShorts at 4,479–4,500.4 (+4.75%): ≈ $4,538 modelledShorts at 4,500.4–4,521.9 (+5.25%): ≈ $8,180 modelledShorts at 4,521.9–4,543.3 (+5.75%): ≈ $8,563 modelledShorts at 4,543.3–4,564.7 (+6.25%): ≈ $8,522 modelledShorts at 4,564.7–4,586.2 (+6.75%): ≈ $8,483 modelledShorts at 4,586.2–4,607.6 (+7.25%): ≈ $8,409 modelledShorts at 4,607.6–4,629 (+7.75%): ≈ $8,119 modelledShorts at 4,629–4,650.5 (+8.25%): ≈ $8,081 modelledShorts at 4,650.5–4,671.9 (+8.75%): ≈ $8,044 modelledShorts at 4,671.9–4,693.3 (+9.25%): ≈ $8,007 modelledShorts at 4,693.3–4,714.7 (+9.75%): ≈ $7,257 modelledShorts at 4,714.7–4,736.2 (+10.25%): ≈ $4,087 modelledShorts at 4,736.2–4,757.6 (+10.75%): ≈ $3,680 modelledShorts at 4,757.6–4,779 (+11.25%): ≈ $3,663 modelledShorts at 4,779–4,800.5 (+11.75%): ≈ $3,646 modelledShorts at 4,800.5–4,821.9 (+12.25%): ≈ $3,630 modelledShorts at 4,821.9–4,843.3 (+12.75%): ≈ $3,719 modelledShorts at 4,843.3–4,864.8 (+13.25%): ≈ $3,751 modelledShorts at 4,864.8–4,886.2 (+13.75%): ≈ $3,734 modelledShorts at 4,886.2–4,907.6 (+14.25%): ≈ $3,718 modelledShorts at 4,907.6–4,929 (+14.75%): ≈ $3,681 modelledShorts at 4,929–4,950.5 (+15.25%): ≈ $3,536 modelledShorts at 4,950.5–4,971.9 (+15.75%): ≈ $3,520 modelledShorts at 4,971.9–4,993.3 (+16.25%): ≈ $3,505 modelledShorts at 4,993.3–5,014.8 (+16.75%): ≈ $3,491 modelledShorts at 5,014.8–5,036.2 (+17.25%): ≈ $3,475 modelledShorts at 5,036.2–5,057.6 (+17.75%): ≈ $3,855 modelledShorts at 5,057.6–5,079.1 (+18.25%): ≈ $3,877 modelledShorts at 5,079.1–5,100.5 (+18.75%): ≈ $3,861 modelledShorts at 5,100.5–5,121.9 (+19.25%): ≈ $3,844 modelledShorts at 5,121.9–5,143.4 (+19.75%): ≈ $3,374 modelledShorts at 5,143.4–5,164.8 (+20.25%): ≈ $1,135 modelledShorts at 5,164.8–5,186.2 (+20.75%): ≈ $1,130 modelledShorts at 5,186.2–5,207.6 (+21.25%): ≈ $1,126 modelledShorts at 5,207.6–5,229.1 (+21.75%): ≈ $1,121 modelledShorts at 5,229.1–5,250.5 (+22.25%): ≈ $1,094 modelledShorts at 5,250.5–5,271.9 (+22.75%): ≈ $1,091 modelledShorts at 5,271.9–5,293.4 (+23.25%): ≈ $1,104 modelledShorts at 5,293.4–5,314.8 (+23.75%): ≈ $1,100 modelledShorts at 5,314.8–5,336.2 (+24.25%): ≈ $1,096 modelledShorts at 5,336.2–5,357.7 (+24.75%): ≈ $1,091 modelled3,214.6-25.00%3,750.4-12.50%4,821.9+12.50%5,357.7+25.00%XAU 4,286.1Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate
Longs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)Cumulative from the price outwards (right axis)

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All leverage · positions opened in the last 24 hours. Each bar is 21.431 wide. Outside the chart: ≈ $0 of longs and $13K of shorts.

See how these levels built up over time on the XAU liquidation heatmap.

Densest long liquidation levels

below 4,286.1
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
4,200.4–4,221.8-1.75%$17K
4,221.8–4,243.3-1.25%$17K
4,243.3–4,264.7-0.75%$14K
3,857.5–3,878.9-9.75%$8,209
3,878.9–3,900.4-9.25%$8,164

Densest short liquidation levels

above 4,286.1
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
4,307.6–4,329+0.75%$16K
4,329–4,350.4+1.25%$16K
4,350.4–4,371.9+1.75%$15K
4,521.9–4,543.3+5.75%$8,563
4,543.3–4,564.7+6.25%$8,522

Modelled liquidations near the price

All leverage · last 24 hours
Price moveLongs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)
±2%$49K$49K
±5%$77K$77K
±10%$159K$157K

How this estimate is made

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27

Inputs are the open interest, prices and volume this site records from Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. Every rise in open interest is booked as a new long and a new short at the period's volume-weighted price; falls in open interest close positions proportionally; positions also decay with a multi-day half-life; and a level is removed once the price trades through it (those are the "modelled liquidations"). Liquidation prices are spread over this distance-from-entry distribution, measured on real Hyperliquid positions:

Liquidation distance from entryShare of new positions
0% – 2%12.0%
2% – 5%7.0%
5% – 10%20.0%
10% – 20%18.0%
20% – 50%17.0%

Known limits: prices are last-trade bars averaged across exchanges, not mark prices; opens and closes inside one open-interest snapshot (5 minutes on Binance) cancel out; one distribution is used for every coin and both sides. USD values are "≈ modelled", best read as relative intensity. Full method and a daily accuracy scoreboard against real liquidations: liquidation heatmap methodology. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.

XAU liquidation map FAQ

Is this XAU liquidation map real data?

No, it is a model estimate. Exchanges do not publish where their users' positions would be liquidated, so every liquidation heatmap for Binance or Bybit (including the well-known ones) is a model. This one starts from real data: the open interest changes, prices and trading volume this site records from the exchanges' public APIs. Actual liquidations are usually lower, because most positions are closed long before they are liquidated.

How is it calculated?

Every rise in open interest is a new long and a new short, entered at that period's volume-weighted price. The model spreads their liquidation prices over a distance-to-liquidation distribution measured on real Hyperliquid positions (74.0% of new positions within 50% of entry; the rest are too far away or can't be liquidated). Falls in open interest close positions proportionally, positions also decay with a 5-day half-life, and a level is removed once the price trades through it. The model version on the chart says which formula and distribution were used.

What do the ranges and the ≥25× view mean?

The range is the replay window: the map shows positions opened in the last 12 hours to 30 days. All leverage uses the whole distribution; High leverage (≥25×) keeps only positions liquidated within 4% of their entry, the short-term levels that get hit first.

How is this different from the Hyperliquid liquidation map?

Hyperliquid is an on-chain exchange, so its positions and their liquidation prices are public. The Hyperliquid liquidation map adds up the real positions of tracked wallets on Hyperliquid only (there is none for XAU, which has no Hyperliquid perp). This page is an estimate for all tracked exchanges together, Binance, Bybit and Hyperliquid included. Use both: where they agree, the level is more likely real.

Can I trade on it?

Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.