Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) Whale vs Retail Delta
The PENGU whale vs retail delta: the share of top traders' PENGU position that is long minus the share of all accounts that are long, in percentage points. The chart holds at least a year of readings on Gate. Below it: where today's reading ranks in the past 30 days and year, and what price did after the year's most extreme readings.
PENGU whales are 5.1 pp less long than retail, the 72nd percentile of the past year (Gate top traders' positions 50.8% long vs 55.9% of all accounts). The delta is up 3.2 pp in 24 hours. In the past year it ranged from -24.6 pp (18 Jun 2026) to +11.6 pp (5 Mar 2026). After the top 5% of hourly readings (above +2.2 pp), PENGU was higher 7 days later 46% of the time, median -0.8%, over 403 readings on 37 days. That describes the past and is not a trading signal.
PENGU top traders vs all accounts
Top trader positions long minus accounts long, ppLoading chart…
Not recorded Chart: TradingView Lightweight Charts™
What PENGU did after extreme readings
8042 hourly readings in the past year| Readings | Hours (days) | 24h median | 24h hit rate | 7d median | 7d hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top 5%: whales most long vs retail | 403 (37) | +0.3% n=403 | 51% | -0.8% n=403 | 46% |
| Bottom 5%: whales least long vs retail | 403 (49) | -0.4% n=403 | 54% | -10.6% n=403 | 89% |
Top 5%: readings of +2.2 pp or more; bottom 5%: -16.7 pp or less. A hit is a rise after the top 5% (whales leaned long) and a fall after the bottom 5%. For comparison, across every hourly reading PENGU was higher 24 hours later 45% of the time (median -0.6%, n=8016) and 7 days later 45% (median -1.2%). Prices: Binance spot PENGU/USDT, hourly closes where this site recorded them, else daily closes. Readings cluster in episodes, so the samples overlap and are smaller than they look. This describes the past; it is not a trading signal and not financial advice.
How to read it. The delta is the share of top traders' PENGU position that is long minus the share of all accounts that are long, in percentage points. Retail accounts usually lean long, so the delta sits below zero much of the time; what matters is where it stands against its own history. The chart shows Binance and Gate separately. Compare every coin on the whale vs retail hub and the long/short ratio page.
PENGU whale vs retail FAQ
What is the PENGU whale vs retail delta?
The share of PENGU's top traders' combined position that is long, minus the share of all accounts with a PENGU position that are long, in percentage points. Top traders are Binance's top 20% of futures users by margin balance, weighted by position size; the accounts ratio counts every account once.
How is the "after extremes" table built?
We take the hourly readings of the past year, keep the highest 5% and the lowest 5%, and compare PENGU's Binance spot price at each reading with the price 24 hours and 7 days later: from hourly closes where this site has them, else from daily closes. The hit rate is how often price moved the way the whales leaned (up after the top 5%, down after the bottom 5%). Readings bunch together in episodes, so the number of distinct days is shown too.
Is it a trading signal?
No. The table describes what happened after past readings, before fees and funding, and a year holds only a handful of episodes. Nothing here is financial advice.