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BTC Liquidation Max Pain (Estimated)

Where a move in Bitcoin would liquidate the most estimated leveraged positions: the running total of long liquidations as the price falls and of short liquidations as it rises, and the "max pain" price on each side where that total climbs fastest. For real positions instead of a model, see the BTC liquidation map on Hyperliquid.

Max pain down: 81,375.5 (-2.00%); a fall to it would liquidate about $106.49M of longs in total. Max pain up: 84,696.9 (+2.00%); a rise to it would liquidate about $99.66M of shorts in total.

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27Estimated · last 24 hoursAs of 11:40 UTC

Estimated (model), not real positions: from the BTC liquidation heatmap model (map · methodology). The BTC liquidation map on Hyperliquid shows the real liquidation prices of tracked Hyperliquid wallets instead.

Positions opened in the last
Max pain downlongs
81,375.5
-2.00% · ≈ $106.49M liquidated
Max pain upshorts
84,696.9
+2.00% · ≈ $99.66M liquidated
A ±5% movecumulative
$225.75M / $244.01M
longs if −5% · shorts if +5%
A ±10% movecumulative
$485.86M / $506.54M
longs if −10% · shorts if +10%

BTC cumulative estimated liquidations by price move

±25% · 24 hours
$209.36M$418.71M$628.07M$837.43MMax pain ↓ 81,375.5 (-2.00%): ≈ $106.49M of longs liquidatedMax pain ↓ 81,375.5Max pain ↑ 84,696.9 (+2.00%): ≈ $99.66M of shorts liquidatedMax pain ↑ 84,696.962,277.1-25.00%70,580.8-15.00%78,884.4-5.00%87,188+5.00%95,491.6+15.00%103,795.2+25.00%BTC 83,036.2Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate$418.71M$837.43MMax pain ↓ 81,375.5 (-2.00%): ≈ $106.49M of longs liquidatedMax pain ↓ 81,375.5Max pain ↑ 84,696.9 (+2.00%): ≈ $99.66M of shorts liquidatedMax pain ↑ 84,696.962,277.1-25.00%72,656.7-12.50%93,415.7+12.50%103,795.2+25.00%BTC 83,036.2Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate
Longs liquidated if the price falls that farShorts liquidated if the price rises that farDotted guides at ±5% and ±10%

Max pain levels

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27
SideMax pain priceDistanceBand≈ In the bandCumulative to it
Down (longs)81,375.5-2.00%81,375.5–82,205.8$75.09M (15%)$106.49M
Up (shorts)84,696.9+2.00%83,866.6–84,696.9$68.29M (13%)$99.66M

What "max pain" means here. Walk the price away from 83,036.2 and add up the estimated positions it would liquidate on the way: longs as it falls, shorts as it rises. That running total only grows, so it is always largest at the edge; the interesting price is where it grows fastest. Max pain is the 1% price band within 10% of the price that holds the most estimated liquidations on that side, quoted at the band's far edge, the price a move has to reach to liquidate all of it. The share in brackets is that band's part of everything within 10%. This is not options max pain. Level by level: BTC liquidation levels. The model and its accuracy: methodology. JSON for embeds: /api/liquidation-levels/BTC. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.

BTC liquidation max pain FAQ

What is liquidation max pain?

Here it is the price where a move would liquidate estimated positions fastest. Walking away from the current price, the running total of estimated liquidations only grows; max pain is the 1% price band within 10% of the price where that total climbs the most, on each side. It is different from options max pain, which is about option expiries.

Are these Bitcoin liquidation levels real?

No, they are a model estimate. Binance, Bybit and the other centralised exchanges don't publish their users' liquidation prices, so every liquidation level chart for them is modelled. This one comes from the open interest changes, prices and volume this site records, through the same model as the BTC liquidation heatmap; the methodology page explains it and scores it against real liquidations.

Is there a version with real positions?

Yes, for coins that trade on Hyperliquid, where positions are on-chain: the BTC liquidation map on Hyperliquid adds up the real liquidation prices of tracked wallets there.

Can I trade on it?

Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.