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AAVE Liquidation Map (Estimated)

An estimated liquidation map for Aave: the modelled value of positions that would be liquidated at each price if it got there, longs below the current price and shorts above, from positions opened in the chosen window across Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. For real positions instead of a model, see the AAVE liquidation map on Hyperliquid.

The model places $590K of long and $470K of short liquidation levels for AAVE from positions opened in the last 24 hours (high leverage (≥25×)). Within 10% of the 154.27 price: about $590K of longs below and $470K of shorts above. The densest modelled clusters are longs near 153.12 (-0.75%) and shorts near 156.97 (+1.75%).

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25xHigh leverage (≥25×) · last 24 hoursOpen interest $226.24MAs of 20:53 UTC

This is a model estimate for all tracked exchanges, not real positions. The AAVE liquidation map on Hyperliquid shows the real liquidation prices of tracked Hyperliquid wallets instead.

Long levelswithin −10%
$590K
densest near 153.12
Short levelswithin +10%
$470K
densest near 156.97
Modelled liquidationslast 24 hours
$343K
exchanges reported $12K
Open interestall exchanges
$226.24M
$590K long · $470K short levels

AAVE liquidation map · ±25% · 24 hours

$32K$148K$64K$295K$96K$443K$129K$590KLongs at 145.79–146.56 (-5.25%): ≈ $3,136 modelledLongs at 146.56–147.33 (-4.75%): ≈ $13K modelledLongs at 147.33–148.10 (-4.25%): ≈ $16K modelledLongs at 148.10–148.87 (-3.75%): ≈ $25K modelledLongs at 148.87–149.64 (-3.25%): ≈ $57K modelledLongs at 149.64–150.42 (-2.75%): ≈ $78K modelledLongs at 150.42–151.19 (-2.25%): ≈ $87K modelledLongs at 151.19–151.96 (-1.75%): ≈ $82K modelledLongs at 151.96–152.73 (-1.25%): ≈ $93K modelledLongs at 152.73–153.50 (-0.75%): ≈ $99K modelledLongs at 153.50–154.27 (-0.25%): ≈ $37K modelledShorts at 154.27–155.04 (+0.25%): ≈ $44 modelledShorts at 155.04–155.81 (+0.75%): ≈ $1,947 modelledShorts at 155.81–156.59 (+1.25%): ≈ $78K modelledShorts at 156.59–157.36 (+1.75%): ≈ $129K modelledShorts at 157.36–158.13 (+2.25%): ≈ $104K modelledShorts at 158.13–158.90 (+2.75%): ≈ $58K modelledShorts at 158.90–159.67 (+3.25%): ≈ $37K modelledShorts at 159.67–160.44 (+3.75%): ≈ $34K modelledShorts at 160.44–161.21 (+4.25%): ≈ $24K modelledShorts at 161.21–161.99 (+4.75%): ≈ $4,917 modelledShorts at 161.99–162.76 (+5.25%): ≈ $172 modelled115.70-25.00%131.13-15.00%146.56-5.00%161.99+5.00%177.41+15.00%192.84+25.00%AAVE 154.27Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · ≥25× · estimate$64K$295K$129K$590KLongs at 145.79–146.56 (-5.25%): ≈ $3,136 modelledLongs at 146.56–147.33 (-4.75%): ≈ $13K modelledLongs at 147.33–148.10 (-4.25%): ≈ $16K modelledLongs at 148.10–148.87 (-3.75%): ≈ $25K modelledLongs at 148.87–149.64 (-3.25%): ≈ $57K modelledLongs at 149.64–150.42 (-2.75%): ≈ $78K modelledLongs at 150.42–151.19 (-2.25%): ≈ $87K modelledLongs at 151.19–151.96 (-1.75%): ≈ $82K modelledLongs at 151.96–152.73 (-1.25%): ≈ $93K modelledLongs at 152.73–153.50 (-0.75%): ≈ $99K modelledLongs at 153.50–154.27 (-0.25%): ≈ $37K modelledShorts at 154.27–155.04 (+0.25%): ≈ $44 modelledShorts at 155.04–155.81 (+0.75%): ≈ $1,947 modelledShorts at 155.81–156.59 (+1.25%): ≈ $78K modelledShorts at 156.59–157.36 (+1.75%): ≈ $129K modelledShorts at 157.36–158.13 (+2.25%): ≈ $104K modelledShorts at 158.13–158.90 (+2.75%): ≈ $58K modelledShorts at 158.90–159.67 (+3.25%): ≈ $37K modelledShorts at 159.67–160.44 (+3.75%): ≈ $34K modelledShorts at 160.44–161.21 (+4.25%): ≈ $24K modelledShorts at 161.21–161.99 (+4.75%): ≈ $4,917 modelledShorts at 161.99–162.76 (+5.25%): ≈ $172 modelled115.70-25.00%134.99-12.50%173.56+12.50%192.84+25.00%AAVE 154.27Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · ≥25× · estimate
Longs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)Cumulative from the price outwards (right axis)

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · High leverage (≥25×) · positions opened in the last 24 hours. Each bar is 0.7714 wide. Outside the chart: ≈ $0 of longs and $0 of shorts.

See how these levels built up over time on the AAVE liquidation heatmap.

Densest long liquidation levels

below 154.27
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
152.73–153.50-0.75%$99K
151.96–152.73-1.25%$93K
150.42–151.19-2.25%$87K
151.19–151.96-1.75%$82K
149.64–150.42-2.75%$78K

Densest short liquidation levels

above 154.27
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
156.59–157.36+1.75%$129K
157.36–158.13+2.25%$104K
155.81–156.59+1.25%$78K
158.13–158.90+2.75%$58K
158.90–159.67+3.25%$37K

Modelled liquidations near the price

High leverage (≥25×) · last 24 hours
Price moveLongs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)
±2%$316K$201K
±5%$585K$470K
±10%$590K$470K

How this estimate is made

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x

Inputs are the open interest, prices and volume this site records from Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. Every rise in open interest is booked as a new long and a new short at the period's volume-weighted price; falls in open interest close positions proportionally; positions also decay with a multi-day half-life; and a level is removed once the price trades through it (those are the "modelled liquidations"). Liquidation prices are spread over this distance-from-entry distribution, measured on real Hyperliquid positions and cut to positions at ≥25× leverage:

Liquidation distance from entryShare of new positions
0% – 2%12.0%
2% – 4%4.7%

Known limits: prices are last-trade bars averaged across exchanges, not mark prices; opens and closes inside one open-interest snapshot (5 minutes on Binance) cancel out; one distribution is used for every coin and both sides. USD values are "≈ modelled", best read as relative intensity. Full method and a daily accuracy scoreboard against real liquidations: liquidation heatmap methodology. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.

AAVE liquidation map FAQ

Is this Aave liquidation map real data?

No, it is a model estimate. Exchanges do not publish where their users' positions would be liquidated, so every liquidation heatmap for Binance or Bybit (including the well-known ones) is a model. This one starts from real data: the open interest changes, prices and trading volume this site records from the exchanges' public APIs. Actual liquidations are usually lower, because most positions are closed long before they are liquidated.

How is it calculated?

Every rise in open interest is a new long and a new short, entered at that period's volume-weighted price. The model spreads their liquidation prices over a distance-to-liquidation distribution measured on real Hyperliquid positions (74.0% of new positions within 50% of entry; the rest are too far away or can't be liquidated). Falls in open interest close positions proportionally, positions also decay with a 5-day half-life, and a level is removed once the price trades through it. The model version on the chart says which formula and distribution were used.

What do the ranges and the ≥25× view mean?

The range is the replay window: the map shows positions opened in the last 12 hours to 30 days. All leverage uses the whole distribution; High leverage (≥25×) keeps only positions liquidated within 4% of their entry, the short-term levels that get hit first.

How is this different from the Hyperliquid liquidation map?

Hyperliquid is an on-chain exchange, so its positions and their liquidation prices are public. The AAVE liquidation map on Hyperliquid adds up the real positions of tracked wallets on Hyperliquid only. This page is an estimate for all tracked exchanges together, Binance, Bybit and Hyperliquid included. Use both: where they agree, the level is more likely real.

Can I trade on it?

Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.