Jobs Report (NFP) Bitcoin & Ethereum reaction history
BTC and ETH moves around US Jobs Report (NFP) releases since 2019, using hourly proxies. Historical observations, not a forecast.
Jobs Report (NFP) releases can shift expectations for interest rates and risk appetite. These price moves also reflect other news, positioning and market conditions; they do not establish causation or predict the next release's direction.
Jobs Report (NFP) reaction summary · hourly proxies
| Coin | 24h samples | Median |24h| | Up after 24h | Median |1h| | 1h samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 93 | +1.02% | +49.46% | +0.72% | 93 |
| ETH | 93 | +1.53% | +47.31% | +0.74% | 93 |
Only available endpoints enter each statistic. “Up” means strictly positive. Absolute moves measure size regardless of direction.
Every Jobs Report (NFP) release · newest first
Download CSVHourly proxies: the reference is the Binance spot USDT candle closing at 08:00 ET, 30 minutes before the 08:30 release. +1h, +4h and +24h use the first hourly close at or after each target: 10:00 ET, 13:00 ET and 09:00 ET the next day. Endpoints are 30 minutes late. Returns are 100 × (later close / reference close − 1). No interpolation.
| Release date (ET) | Coin | +1h proxy | +4h proxy | +24h proxy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.16% | -1.46% | -1.78% |
| 2026-10-02 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.08% | -2.06% | -2.33% |
| 2026-09-04 08:30 ET | BTC | -2.27% | -1.82% | -1.87% |
| 2026-09-04 08:30 ET | ETH | -2.80% | -2.49% | -2.54% |
| 2026-08-07 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.03% | -0.33% | -0.03% |
| 2026-08-07 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.37% | -0.36% | +0.15% |
| 2026-07-02 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.95% | +0.53% | +1.02% |
| 2026-07-02 08:30 ET | ETH | +3.66% | +2.99% | +5.22% |
| 2026-06-05 08:30 ET | BTC | -1.99% | -0.92% | -1.51% |
| 2026-06-05 08:30 ET | ETH | -2.91% | -3.30% | -5.54% |
| 2026-05-08 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.73% | -0.53% | +0.21% |
| 2026-05-08 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.82% | -0.24% | +0.92% |
| 2026-04-03 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.52% | -0.01% | +0.12% |
| 2026-04-03 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.70% | -0.38% | -0.61% |
| 2026-03-06 08:30 ET | BTC | -2.14% | -2.79% | -2.83% |
| 2026-03-06 08:30 ET | ETH | -3.27% | -3.99% | -3.26% |
| 2026-02-11 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.82% | -0.92% | +1.85% |
| 2026-02-11 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.46% | -1.15% | +2.18% |
| 2026-01-09 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.33% | +1.08% | +0.23% |
| 2026-01-09 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.18% | +0.97% | +0.34% |
| 2025-12-16 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.10% | -0.09% | +0.48% |
| 2025-12-16 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.36% | -1.10% | -0.25% |
| 2025-11-20 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.80% | -5.01% | -8.41% |
| 2025-11-20 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.93% | -6.44% | -9.48% |
| 2025-09-05 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.65% | -1.37% | -1.35% |
| 2025-09-05 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.58% | -2.71% | -2.67% |
| 2025-08-01 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.83% | -0.25% | -1.46% |
| 2025-08-01 08:30 ET | ETH | -1.18% | -1.50% | -3.67% |
| 2025-07-03 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.60% | -0.28% | -0.79% |
| 2025-07-03 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.04% | -0.98% | -1.90% |
| 2025-06-06 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.16% | +0.80% | +1.48% |
| 2025-06-06 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.09% | +0.86% | +0.88% |
| 2025-05-02 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.16% | +0.43% | -0.83% |
| 2025-05-02 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.02% | +1.04% | -0.21% |
| 2025-04-04 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.79% | +0.86% | +0.73% |
| 2025-04-04 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.02% | +0.77% | +0.78% |
| 2025-03-07 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.56% | -1.53% | -3.06% |
| 2025-03-07 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.98% | -0.74% | +0.54% |
| 2025-02-07 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.78% | -0.54% | -1.75% |
| 2025-02-07 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.93% | -2.80% | -4.93% |
| 2025-01-10 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.96% | +0.81% | -0.66% |
| 2025-01-10 08:30 ET | ETH | -1.62% | +0.13% | -1.30% |
| 2024-12-06 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.89% | +3.29% | +1.76% |
| 2024-12-06 08:30 ET | ETH | +3.84% | +4.68% | +4.10% |
| 2024-11-01 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.71% | -0.12% | -0.78% |
| 2024-11-01 08:30 ET | ETH | +2.33% | +0.12% | -1.08% |
| 2024-10-04 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.21% | +1.29% | +1.39% |
| 2024-10-04 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.32% | +1.99% | +1.53% |
| 2024-09-06 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.18% | -3.44% | -2.54% |
| 2024-09-06 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.41% | -4.49% | -3.48% |
| 2024-08-02 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.88% | -2.09% | -4.11% |
| 2024-08-02 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.22% | -4.01% | -4.56% |
| 2024-07-05 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.62% | +1.73% | +2.29% |
| 2024-07-05 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.82% | +0.68% | +1.84% |
| 2024-06-07 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.23% | -1.15% | -3.26% |
| 2024-06-07 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.52% | -1.33% | -3.97% |
| 2024-05-03 08:30 ET | BTC | +4.05% | +4.03% | +8.05% |
| 2024-05-03 08:30 ET | ETH | +2.74% | +2.96% | +5.75% |
| 2024-04-05 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.54% | +2.22% | +1.90% |
| 2024-04-05 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.22% | +2.36% | +2.75% |
| 2024-03-08 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.43% | +1.31% | +1.32% |
| 2024-03-08 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.72% | -0.07% | -0.72% |
| 2024-02-02 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.75% | -0.40% | -0.14% |
| 2024-02-02 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.97% | -0.94% | -0.32% |
| 2024-01-05 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.90% | -0.62% | -0.41% |
| 2024-01-05 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.68% | -0.44% | -0.22% |
| 2023-12-08 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.50% | -0.02% | +0.58% |
| 2023-12-08 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.07% | -0.51% | -0.12% |
| 2023-11-03 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.93% | +1.21% | +1.48% |
| 2023-11-03 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.01% | +1.49% | +2.71% |
| 2023-10-06 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.84% | +0.42% | +0.72% |
| 2023-10-06 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.31% | +0.32% | +0.34% |
| 2023-09-01 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.18% | -0.99% | -0.92% |
| 2023-09-01 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.11% | -1.28% | -0.73% |
| 2023-08-04 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.25% | +0.34% | -0.52% |
| 2023-08-04 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.45% | +0.71% | -0.21% |
| 2023-07-07 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.89% | +0.78% | +0.18% |
| 2023-07-07 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.70% | +0.67% | -0.20% |
| 2023-06-02 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.82% | -0.28% | +0.13% |
| 2023-06-02 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.82% | -0.32% | +0.48% |
| 2023-05-05 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.09% | +1.50% | -0.18% |
| 2023-05-05 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.09% | +4.16% | +0.03% |
| 2023-04-07 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.20% | +0.14% | +0.53% |
| 2023-04-07 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.27% | +0.18% | +0.91% |
| 2023-03-10 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.58% | -0.02% | +0.72% |
| 2023-03-10 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.37% | +0.81% | +2.38% |
| 2023-02-03 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.03% | -0.08% | -0.09% |
| 2023-02-03 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.61% | +0.54% | +1.95% |
| 2023-01-06 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.11% | +0.54% | +1.13% |
| 2023-01-06 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.36% | +1.58% | +1.53% |
| 2022-12-02 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.72% | -0.56% | -0.46% |
| 2022-12-02 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.86% | -0.86% | -1.53% |
| 2022-11-04 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.98% | +1.09% | +3.66% |
| 2022-11-04 08:30 ET | ETH | +2.49% | +2.83% | +4.06% |
| 2022-10-07 08:30 ET | BTC | -1.97% | -2.97% | -2.42% |
| 2022-10-07 08:30 ET | ETH | -1.62% | -2.28% | -1.91% |
| 2022-09-02 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.87% | +0.19% | -1.20% |
| 2022-09-02 08:30 ET | ETH | +2.23% | +1.04% | -2.26% |
| 2022-08-05 08:30 ET | BTC | -1.50% | -1.58% | -0.99% |
| 2022-08-05 08:30 ET | ETH | -1.64% | -2.35% | -0.10% |
| 2022-07-08 08:30 ET | BTC | -1.44% | +0.49% | -0.32% |
| 2022-07-08 08:30 ET | ETH | -1.82% | +0.03% | -0.60% |
| 2022-06-03 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.12% | -0.72% | -0.74% |
| 2022-06-03 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.32% | -0.00% | -0.17% |
| 2022-05-06 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.09% | +1.22% | +0.71% |
| 2022-05-06 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.43% | +1.30% | +0.46% |
| 2022-04-01 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.81% | +2.13% | +3.67% |
| 2022-04-01 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.96% | +3.79% | +6.80% |
| 2022-03-04 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.97% | -1.62% | -6.03% |
| 2022-03-04 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.90% | -1.46% | -3.46% |
| 2022-02-04 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.01% | +6.75% | +9.36% |
| 2022-02-04 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.44% | +4.08% | +6.49% |
| 2022-01-07 08:30 ET | BTC | -1.19% | -0.96% | -1.17% |
| 2022-01-07 08:30 ET | ETH | -1.03% | -1.19% | -1.27% |
| 2021-12-03 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.97% | -3.18% | -16.56% |
| 2021-12-03 08:30 ET | ETH | -1.60% | -5.29% | -13.72% |
| 2021-11-05 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.84% | -0.60% | -1.62% |
| 2021-11-05 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.99% | +0.24% | -2.48% |
| 2021-10-08 08:30 ET | BTC | -1.93% | -1.71% | -0.48% |
| 2021-10-08 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.39% | +0.52% | -0.22% |
| 2021-09-03 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.09% | +0.63% | +0.13% |
| 2021-09-03 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.26% | +0.42% | -0.98% |
| 2021-08-06 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.03% | +4.97% | +7.46% |
| 2021-08-06 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.50% | +4.56% | +13.00% |
| 2021-07-02 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.38% | +1.74% | +4.61% |
| 2021-07-02 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.64% | +3.60% | +8.75% |
| 2021-06-04 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.39% | +0.84% | -1.57% |
| 2021-06-04 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.10% | +1.48% | +0.67% |
| 2021-05-07 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.94% | +3.25% | +4.25% |
| 2021-05-07 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.50% | +2.99% | +3.47% |
| 2021-04-02 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.57% | -0.46% | -0.48% |
| 2021-04-02 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.09% | +2.65% | +4.92% |
| 2021-03-05 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.02% | +0.94% | -0.69% |
| 2021-03-05 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.74% | +1.66% | +3.11% |
| 2021-02-05 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.65% | +0.12% | +6.02% |
| 2021-02-05 08:30 ET | ETH | +4.61% | +3.96% | +0.92% |
| 2021-01-08 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.33% | -0.75% | -0.64% |
| 2021-01-08 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.57% | -2.76% | -2.28% |
| 2020-12-04 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.10% | -0.30% | -0.23% |
| 2020-12-04 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.03% | -0.46% | -0.95% |
| 2020-11-06 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.33% |
| 2020-11-06 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.01% | +0.11% | +5.27% |
| 2020-10-02 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.90% | +1.03% | +0.95% |
| 2020-10-02 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.49% | +2.27% | +2.73% |
| 2020-09-04 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.47% | +0.12% | -4.03% |
| 2020-09-04 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.86% | -2.43% | -14.75% |
| 2020-08-07 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.15% | -1.41% | +0.15% |
| 2020-08-07 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.04% | -3.81% | -0.66% |
| 2020-07-02 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.54% | -1.66% | -0.97% |
| 2020-07-02 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.02% | -0.99% | -0.39% |
| 2020-06-05 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.16% | +0.29% | -0.50% |
| 2020-06-05 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.01% | -0.56% | -0.55% |
| 2020-05-08 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.17% | +0.74% | -2.32% |
| 2020-05-08 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.37% | +1.49% | -0.37% |
| 2020-04-03 08:30 ET | BTC | -2.30% | -3.60% | -4.20% |
| 2020-04-03 08:30 ET | ETH | -1.97% | -3.52% | -3.49% |
| 2020-03-06 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.42% | -0.39% | -0.24% |
| 2020-03-06 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.72% | -0.18% | +1.83% |
| 2020-02-07 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.69% | +0.26% | +0.39% |
| 2020-02-07 08:30 ET | ETH | +1.69% | +0.96% | +3.18% |
| 2020-01-10 08:30 ET | BTC | +1.07% | +0.92% | +2.48% |
| 2020-01-10 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.26% | +1.52% | +2.64% |
| 2019-12-06 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.18% | +1.47% | +2.02% |
| 2019-12-06 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.01% | +1.19% | +0.71% |
| 2019-11-01 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.55% | -0.11% | +1.75% |
| 2019-11-01 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.68% | -0.85% | +0.94% |
| 2019-10-04 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.21% | +0.38% | -0.97% |
| 2019-10-04 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.24% | +1.90% | -0.94% |
| 2019-09-06 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.42% | +0.15% | -4.27% |
| 2019-09-06 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.06% | -0.26% | -3.02% |
| 2019-08-02 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.74% | -0.42% | +2.53% |
| 2019-08-02 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.34% | -1.10% | +1.30% |
| 2019-07-05 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.28% | -0.30% | +1.84% |
| 2019-07-05 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.43% | -1.37% | -1.17% |
| 2019-06-07 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.72% | +1.90% | +0.38% |
| 2019-06-07 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.60% | +1.95% | +0.08% |
| 2019-05-03 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.97% | +0.22% | +0.40% |
| 2019-05-03 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.90% | +0.38% | -2.17% |
| 2019-04-05 08:30 ET | BTC | -0.09% | +0.07% | +0.08% |
| 2019-04-05 08:30 ET | ETH | -0.01% | -0.21% | -0.44% |
| 2019-03-08 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.54% | +0.44% | +0.69% |
| 2019-03-08 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.78% | +0.45% | +0.32% |
| 2019-02-01 08:30 ET | BTC | +0.17% | -0.03% | +0.13% |
| 2019-02-01 08:30 ET | ETH | +0.22% | -0.46% | +0.71% |
| 2019-01-04 08:30 ET | BTC | -1.02% | -0.27% | +1.02% |
| 2019-01-04 08:30 ET | ETH | -2.60% | -1.69% | +3.37% |
Hourly proxies include 30 minutes before the release and 30 minutes beyond each target. — = missing hour or unfinished horizon; no interpolation. On phones, scroll the tables horizontally.
Release dates: BLS Jobs Report (NFP) schedule and release archive, copied 2026-10-19. Published schedule through December 2027; later releases require a schedule update. September 2025 was delayed to November 20; October’s report was cancelled. November 2025 was released December 16; January 2026 was released February 11.
Jobs Report (NFP) releases can shift expectations for interest rates and risk appetite. These price moves also reflect other news, positioning and market conditions; they do not establish causation or predict the next release's direction.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future returns.
Jobs Report (NFP) crypto reaction FAQ
When is the next US jobs report (NFP)?
The countdown uses the published BLS release schedule at 08:30 America/New_York, with daylight saving time applied. It is measured at page load. Dates can change; check the linked BLS schedule.
How are Bitcoin and Ethereum jobs report reactions measured?
Hourly proxies: the reference is the Binance spot USDT candle closing at 08:00 ET, 30 minutes before the 08:30 release. +1h, +4h and +24h use the first hourly close at or after each target: 10:00 ET, 13:00 ET and 09:00 ET the next day. Endpoints are 30 minutes late. Returns are 100 × (later close / reference close − 1). No interpolation.
What do the summary statistics mean?
For each coin, medians of absolute 1h and 24h proxy returns measure move size regardless of direction. Share up is the fraction of available 24h proxy returns strictly above zero. Dashes indicate missing reference or endpoint candles, or unfinished horizons. Missing values are excluded from sample counts.
Does this show non-farm payrolls figures or forecasts?
This page shows release dates and historical crypto reactions since January 2019, not payroll figures or consensus forecasts. September 2025's report was delayed to November 20; October's report was not published. November's report was delayed to December 16, and January 2026's to February 11.